Buletinul Agenda Strategică 0/24: Riscuri, Tendințe, Prognoze

rapoarte, analize, perspective – o selecție din dosarele documentare:

riscuri românia 20>30
agenda 2024, românia
.		riscuri globale 20>30
agenda 2024, generale
agenda 2024, internațional

Buletinele Agenda Strategică semnalează tendințe, direcții strategice, agende și idei de dezvoltare, indicate de vârfuri de expertiză din țară și din lume – relevantul, curatoriat manual

românia

o selecție din dosarul riscuri pentru românia, 2024 :

Allianz: În România, principalele trei riscuri sunt reprezentate de modificările legislaţiei şi reglementărilor, riscurile macroeconomice şi riscurile legate de incendiu şi explozii – ZF, 17.01.24

2024, un an cu multe riscuri – Ștefan Popescu, New Money, 15.01.24

Marea Neagră în 2023: Cât de expusă rămâne România? – Sabina Fati, DW, 31.12.23

Agenda Strategică este un proiect editorial independent și non-profit, realizat împreună cu parteneri adecvați: dintre cei mai relevanți și interesanți actori din domeniile de interes, promotori ai gândirii strategice, atât în cadrul sectorului, cât și al ansamblului socio-economic

prieteni

Gabriel BirișDaniel MetzCorneliu Bodea

o selecție din dosarul agenda 2024, românia (societate // guvernare// economie (macro / financiar / agri / energie / it-c / construcții / circularitate / muncă) + lumea văzută din ro) :

Priorităţile legislative ale Parlamentului în 2024: Noua lege a salarizării sau Codul Urbanismului – economedia, 6.01.24

Raportul BNR de convergenţă cu Zona Euro: Economia României va creşte cu sub 2%, sub prognoze. Cea mai acută problemă a României este deficitul bugetar – ZF, 19.12.23

Strategia fiscal bugetară 2024 – 2027: ce taxe și impozite percepe statul, de unde și cum se taie cheltuieli – CdG, 13.12.23

Daniel Dăianu, Consiliul Fiscal: Deficitul bugetar este o mare vulnerabilitate a României şi nu este exclus ca în 2024 să asistăm la aceleaşi eforturi şi încercări de a reduce în mod forţat cheltuielile – ZF, 2.01.24

Va fi 2024 un an al investiţiilor? Guvernul are planuri mari de investiţii în 2024: nu mai puţin de 7% din PIB sau 18% din buget – ZF, 18.12.23

Va fi 2024 un an prosper? Românii sunt mai optimiști decât restul europenilor. Ce spun prognozele – studiifinanciare.ro, 18.01.24

Cum intră economia României într-un an cu patru rânduri de alegeri. Se decide marea reformă fiscală, încep discuțiile pe impozitarea progresivă, deficitul este încă o problemă majoră, vine o nouă lege a salarizării, cu ce bani se majorează pensiile? – economedia, 8.01.24

Tendinţe pentru economia românească în 2024. Ce va fi în anul 2024 în macroeconomie, în sistemul bancar, asigurări pe burse, în energie, în industria alimentară, transporturi şi turism, pe piaţa muncii, comerţ şi în IT&C? – ZF, 5.01.24

Piața muncii în 2024, între cei trei actori principali, companiile, angajații și instituțiile statului – Claudia Indreica, economedia, 7.02.24

lumea văzută din România

24 Trends for 2024 – Social Innovation Solutions, 14.02.24
Generative Al and robotics are the key words for 2024. The robotics industry is undergoing rapid (r)evolutions, with numerous captivating trends and breakthroughs on the horizon. From Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning to soft and swarm robotics, these developments have the potential to revolutionize diverse sectors. As robotics continues to progress, we can anticipate the emergence of even more innovative applications in the years ahead.

2024 – Prognoze, tendințe și perspective – ICDE, 1.01.24

internațional

o selecție din dosarul riscuri globale, 2024 :

Global Risks Report 2024 – World Economic Forum, 10.01.23
> These are the biggest global risks we face in 2024 and beyond – WEF, 10.01.24
> Visualizing the Top Global Risks in 2024 – Visual Capitalist, 11.01.24
> Riscurile anului 2024. Ce pericole au cele mai mari șanse să ne amenințe viitorul – panorama, 30.01.24

Top Ten Global Risks for 2024 – Mathew Burrows, Robert A. Manning, Stimson Center, 5.01.24
Persistent conflict in Africa, the Middle East, and Ukraine, the consequences of climate change, and emerging technologies may pose heightened risks this year.

Top Risks 2024 – Eurasia Group, 3.01.24
Three wars will dominate world affairs: Russia vs. Ukraine, now in its third year; Israel vs. Hamas, now in its third month; and the United States vs. itself, ready to kick off at any moment
> brief summaries of the 10 most important risks

  • Welcome to Europe’s year of anxiety – Mujtaba Rahman, Eurasia Group / Politico, 17.01.24
    The risk in 2024 is that far from a geopolitical EU, a more insular bloc will emerge instead.

Risk outlook 2024 – EIU, 10.23
EIU’s Risk outlook 2024 explores how geopolitical tensions, the advent of new technologies and persistent environmental threats could upset the outlook in 2024.

8 Simmering Threats You Shouldn’t Ignore in 2024 – FP, 2.01.24
These are the international disputes that are currently flying under the radar but could emerge as major flash points in the coming year. By Catherine Osborn, Elisabeth Braw, Sushant Singh, Natia Seskuria, Lynne O’Donnell, Matthew Kroenig, John R. Deni, and Folahanmi Aina

The big risks facing the world in 2024 – Frida Gittis, CNN, 27.12.23

o selecție din dosarul agenda 2024, generale (generale // societate // guvernare // economie / muncă // energie // tehnologii // spațiu / științe / inovație // media / creativitate / marcom // carte // turism) :

generale

The world ahead 2024 – The Economist, 11.23
> Ten trends to watch in 2024 – Tom Standage, The Economist, 11.23
> What the “superforecasters” predict for major events in 2024 – The Economist, 11.23

Global Foresight 2024. What the world could look like in ten years, according to nearly 300 experts – Mary Kate Aylward, Peter Engelke, Uri Friedman, and Paul Kielstra, Atlantic Council, 12.01.24

2024 Global Forecast Report – Visual Capitalist, 10.01.24
700+ expert predictions about what will happen this year, distilled into a comprehensive report.

  • 24 Trends That Will Shape the World in 2024 – Inc., 10.01.24
    The landscape shows a shift toward AI integration in everyday tasks and a decrease in consumer spending because of rising unemployment and restrained wage growth.

Predictions for 2024 – Project Syndicate, 29.12.24
If there is any cause for hope, it will lie in promising innovations and the possibility that the center may yet hold in the face of increasingly destructive political movements.

Reuters Breakingviews: Predictions for 2024
> Global polycrisis could yet have not-so-bad ending – Hugo Dixon, Reuters, 8.01.24
> The world’s paradigm shift will create a busy 2024 – Aimee Donnellan, Reuters, 3.01.24

societate

societate+tech

2024 Edelman Trust Barometer – 01.24
> Barometrul de Încredere Edelman 2024: “Inovarea a devenit un nou factor de risc pentru încredere” – Edelman / Forbes România, 18.01.24

Cum influențează inteligența artificială tendințele globale la nivel social, dar și în mediul de afaceri pentru 2024 – Marian Salzman, Philip Morris International / BIZ, 17.01.24

Accenture Life Trends 2024 – 10.23
The visible and invisible mediators between people and their world are changing.

guvernare

Democracy’s Super Bowl: 40 elections that will shape global politics in 2024 – Simon Tisdall, The Guardian, 17.12.23

How AI could sway voters in 2024’s big elections – Helen Fitzwilliam, Chatham House, 26.09.23
AI-generated fake videos, ‘rumour bombs’ and ‘disinfo’ threaten key votes in America, India and beyond.

A forecast for the 2024 European Parliament elections – ECFR, 23.01.24

A Guide to Europe’s Elections in 2024 – Visegrad Insight, 26.01.24
Several European nations hold elections this year while EU member states also elect the new European Parliament, which will determine the direction and leadership of the Union in the next four-year term.

Europe: Elections to watch in 2024 – EIU, 11.23
We expect political fragmentation to remain a key trend in Europe next year.

The Specter of Nationalism – FP, 3.01.24
Identity politics has always influenced elections. In 2024, it will pose a serious threat to liberalism—and to democracy itself. By Pratap Bhanu Mehta, a visiting professor for distinguished teaching at Princeton University

Right-Wing Populism Is Set to Sweep the West in 2024 – FP, 26.12.23
A year of elections looms—and it could be a disaster for liberal democracy. By John Kampfner, the author of Why the Germans Do It Better: Notes from a Grown-Up Country

Can the Far Right in Europe Be Contained? – Judy Asks, Carnegie Europe, 18.01.24

  • Oana Popescu, GlobalFocus: In Romania, Social-Democrat Prime Minister Marcel Ciolacu has managed to dampen enthusiasm for the far right by focusing on social justice, economic protectionism, and moderate criticism of EU policies.

Democracy is at stake in the 2024 US election – Leslie Vinjamuri, Chatham House, 1.12.23
How Republican and Democrat opponents tackle the Trumpist radicalized right will determine whether democratic norms survive.

economie

Defining Global Economic Issues in 2024 – Antonia Colibasanu, Geopolitical Futures, 19.12.23

Top 10 geopolitical developments for 2024 – EY, 12.12.23
There are three pivotal steps to take to get ahead of the top developments coming in the next year.

Mapped: GDP Growth Forecasts by Country in 2024 – Visual Capitalist, 11.02.24

World Economic Outlook 2024: The risks to global growth are broadly balanced and a soft landing is a possibility – IMF, 30.01.24
> IMF says global ‘soft landing’ in sight, lifts 2024 growth outlook – Reuters, 30.01.24

Leaders at Davos see a global economy moving toward a new normal – CNBC, 19.01.24

FT writers’ predictions for the world in 2024 – FT, 30.12.23

Banca Central Europeană avertizează că zona euro riscă să intre în recesiune – hotnews, 10.01.24

Începutul de an aduce premise şi presiuni sporite pentru creşterea salariilor în Europa. BCE se teme că acestea pot reînvia inflaţia – ZF, 29.01.24

Europe outlook 2024 – EIU Report, 11.23
Despite significant economic headwinds facing Europe, the most pressing developments to monitor next year will be the performance of new governments and decarbonisation efforts.

muncă

World Employment and Social Outlook: Trends 2024 – ILO, 10.01.24

energie

Ce perspective are preţul petrolului în 2024 şi cum s-ar putea traduce în preţurile la pompă: În funcţie de conjunctură, putem discuta de 80-120 de dolari barilul de petrol, dar va rămâne probabil sub 100 de dolari – ZF, 17.01.24

What CEE energy companies should look for in a turbulent 2024 – Radu Magdin, Emerging Europe, 23.01.24

tehnologie

Amy Webb Launches 2024 Emerging Tech Trend Report – SXSW, 10.03.24

  • In this mind-bending session, futurist Amy Webb, CEO of the Future Today Institute and professor at NYU Stern School of Business, will provide a data-driven analysis for the emerging tech trends that need to be on your radar this year––and she’ll show you scenarios that will change your perspective on the futures.

The Best of CES 2024 – The Wired, 18.01.24
These are the products, prototypes, and ideas that most distinctly signaled the future at this year’s consumer tech showcase.

Generative AI, cyber resilience, and digital identities: technological trends that will take center stage in 2024 – BBVA, 4.01.24

Top 10 Opportunities for Technology Companies in 2024 – EY, 7.12.24
Embrace GenAI as game-changing technology and increase levels of expertise and experience in the organization.

Tech Trends 2024 – Deloitte, 6.12.23
Six emerging technology trends demonstrate that, in an age of generative machines, it’s more important than ever for organizations to maintain an integrated business strategy, a solid technology foundation, and a creative workforce.

Predictions 2024: Exploration Generates Progress – Forrester, 24.10.23
The AI inflection point is here. It’s time to move fast, think bold, and be willing to pivot. The most dangerous move is to take a conservative “wait and see” approach.

Gartner Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2024 – Gartner, 16.10.23
These innovations can drive you faster toward your business goals, especially in the fast-evolving age of AI.

științe / spațiu

Science in 2024: what to expect this year – Nature, 3.01.24

media / creativitate / marcom

Journalism, media, and technology trends and predictions 2024 – Reuters Institute, 9.01.24

The Future 100: 2024 – VML, 25.01.24
100 micro trends spanning culture creativity and connection.

Dentsu Creative 2024 Trends Report – Dentsu, 7.12.23
Each trend uncovers creative trend news, unexpected possibilities, creative examples and what it means for businesses to set your brand up for success today.

o selecție din dosarul agenda 2024, internaționale (general // europa / ucraina // atlantice // statele unite // securitate) :

The Global Cooperation Barometer 2024 – World Economic Forum, 8.01.24
A tool for leaders to better understand the contours of cooperation broadly and along five pillars – trade and capital flows, innovation and technology, climate and natural capital, health and wellness, and peace and security.
> This is the state of global cooperation – WEF, 8.01.24

CFR Survey Identifies the Top Global Concerns for 2024 – CFR, 4.01.24

5 Issues to Watch in 2024 – FP, 1.01.24
Our columnists share the most important developments on their radar in the year ahead. By James Crabtree, Zongyuan Zoe Liu, Edward Alden, Agathe Demarais, and C. Raja Mohan

Quel avenir pour les BRICS en 2024 ? – Le Grand Continent, 2.01.24

Global issues to watch in 2024 – Chatham House, 1.12.23
From major elections to the AI boom, here are the issues six of our expert contributors expect to make the news in the year ahead.

europa

What’s in store for the European Union in 2024? – european newsroom, 29.12.23

Emerging Europe in 2024: Pivotal elections, Poland emboldened, potential stalemate in Ukraine – Craig Turp-Balazs, Emerging Europe, 1.01.24

Prognoze pentru Europa de Est în 2024: Criza de influență a UE și reînnoirea electorală a autocrațiilor – Denis Cenusa, contributors, 1.02.24

ucraina

A war of wills: Europe’s peace mission in 2024 – Carl Bildt, ECFR, 15.01.24
Russia will continue its war on Ukraine for as long as it can. Europeans need to make it clear that their will to support Kyiv will not falter

atlantice

Transatlantic Technology Policy Pipeline 2024 – GMF, 16.01.24

statele unite

What Another Trump-Biden Showdown Means for the World – FP, 3.01.24
Potential effects on the U.S. commitment to multilateralism, climate change, Taiwan, and more. By Leslie Vinjamuri, the director of the U.S. and the Americas program at Chatham House

What will US foreign policy look like in 2024? – Chatham House, 11.23
The latest episode of our weekly podcast discusses the 2024 US presidential election and its impact on US foreign policy.

securitate

Conflicts to Watch in 2024 – CFR, 4.01.24

10 Conflicts to Watch in 2024 – FP, 1.01.24
More leaders are pursuing their ends militarily. More believe they can get away with it. By Comfort Ero, the president and CEO of the International Crisis Group, and Richard Atwood, executive vice president of the International Crisis Group

finalmente : The Most Anticipated Books of 2024 – FP, 31.12.23

plus : Europe’s top 10 culture destinations for 2024 – The Guardian, 2.01.24

think tank you!

Buletinele Agenda Strategică semnalează mega-tendințe, direcții strategice, agende și idei de interes indicate de vârfuri de expertiză din țară și din lume – relevantul, curatoriat manual

Buletinele sunt trimise universului profesional vizat de Forumul Strategic.