|top risks 20>30|
|Agenda 2022 – tendințe, prognoze / bilanțuri|
Agenda 2021 – tendințe, prognoze / bilanțuri
Agenda 2020 – tendințe, prognoze / bilanțuri
generale // românia // societale // economice // tehnologice / inovație-creativitate
europa / ucraina / internațional
2023: Tendințe și perspective – Inițiativa pentru Cultură Democratică Europeană (ICDE), 2.01.23
6 experts at Davos share what’s on the horizon for 2023 – WEF, 14.01.23
Will 2023 Learn From The Crises of 2022? – Global Stage/ GZERO Media, 3.01.23
- For Ian Bremmer, president of Eurasia Group and GZERO, the main reason for hope in 2023 is that this year some people realized that there are big problems worth fixing. Although we definitely live in a G-zero world with a vacuum of global leadership, he adds, we’ve also seen unprecedented Western unity that would not have happened without Russia invading Ukraine. Ian believes that resistance to a negotiated solution to the war will come from the developing world and that Elon Musk is definitely complicating things with how he’s running Twitter.
- Microsoft President Brad Smith discussed the UN Sustainable Development Goals, which at their halfway point he sees as a “glass half full, half empty” but questions how progress is being measured. Also, Smith sees Russia turning to civilians in Ukraine because its military is losing against Ukrainian soldiers, which he regards as the opposite of what the world agreed to do after World War II. On climate, he doesn’t see things in good shape after COP27 but hopes today’s multiple ongoing crises will push us to do more things together.
In Order To CHANGE YOUR LIFE In 2023, You Need To DO THESE 3 Things First! – Yuval Noah Harari / Tom Bilyeu, 3.01.23
- Artificial intelligence has become more front and center in the past few weeks with A.I. art and AI generated images becoming virtually inescapable. What can you do to thrive during these massive changes?
The World Ahead 2023 – The Economist, 12.22
- Ten trends to watch in the coming year – By Tom Standage, Editor, The World Ahead 2023
- AFTER TWO years in which the pandemic was the force shaping the immediate future, the main driver now is the war in Ukraine. In the coming months the world will have to grapple with unpredictability around the conflict’s impact on geopolitics and security; the struggle to control inflation; chaos in energy markets; and China’s uncertain post-pandemic path. To complicate matters further, all these things are tightly coupled, like an interlocking series of gear wheels.
The World Ahead 2023: five stories to watch out for – The Economist, 27.12.22
- What stories should you be following in 2023? From India becoming the world’s most populous country, to an illegal drug that might be approved as a medicine, The Economist offers its annual look at the year ahead.
Year Ahead 2023 – Project Syndicate, 01.23
- The year 2022 was one of grim and grisly returns: the return of major war – and nuclear brinkmanship – to Europe; the return of high inflation and the threat of stagflation globally; and the return of famine, dire poverty, and other problems against which the developing world had been making steady progress. With all these developments poised to continue, the question now is whether solutions will be found to counter the forces of discord and disintegration.
Anul politic 2023 – Cristian Andrei / Ioana Dogioiu, spotmedia, 3.01.23
La finalul lui 2023 vom fi deja într-o logică pre-electorală pentru alegerile europene și cu tatonări, cel puțin, din partea celor care doresc să fie președinte. Deci sunt doi factori care vor schimba intenția de vot: succesul sau insuccesul gestionării crizei și lansarea unor lideri populari în cursa prezidențială.
- Previziunile actualizate indică perspective de creștere pentru economia națională cu dinamici anuale de 4,6% în 2022, 2,6% în 2023, respectiv 3,8% în 2024.
- Activitatea din economia națională se va redinamiza în 2024, evoluție determinată de temperarea presiunilor inflaționiste și implementarea programelor lansate de Uniunea Europeană după incidența pandemiei COVID-19. În acest scenariu previzionăm continuarea fluxurilor investiționale post-pandemie în trimestrele următoare, evoluție susținută de nivelul redus al costurilor reale de finanțare, potențialul ridicat de convergență economică europeană și accesarea programelor europene.
- Conform scenariului central actualizat investițiile productive din România ar putea crește cu ritmuri anuale în accelerare de la 5,3% în 2022, la 6,4% în 2023, respectiv 6,7% în 2024, cu implicații pozitive la nivelul climatului din piața forței de muncă și impact de antrenare pentru celelalte componente ale PIB-ului. Rata medie anuală a șomajului ar putea să scadă de la 5,4% în 2022, la 5,2% în 2023, respectiv 5,1% în 2024.
- La nivelul cererii externe nete prognozăm creșterea exporturilor și importurilor totale (bunuri și servicii) cu dinamici medii anuale de 10%, respectiv 11,4% în intervalul 2022 – 2024, după cum se poate observa în al treilea grafic din partea dreaptă.
- Atragem atenția cu privire la factorii de risc pentru dinamica economiei României în trimestrele următoare: nivelul ridicat de incertitudine și tendința recentă de deteriorare a climatului macroeconomic mondial; tensiunile geo-politice; deciziile de politică economică pe plan intern, inclusiv ritmul de implementare a reformelor structurale; modificările climatice.
Tendinţe pentru economia românească în 2023. Ce va fi în 2023 pe burse, cu bugetul, în infrastructură, pe piaţa auto, pe piaţa rezidenţială, în agricultură, în retail, în industria alimentară, în bănci, asigurări, pe piaţa de birouri şi în IT&C? Pariurile redacţiei – ZF, 5.01.23
- Economie verde. Banii din PNRR pentru reciclare, Sistemul Garanţie-Returnare şi găsirea unor soluţii pentru poluarea din Bucureşti sunt cap de afiş în economia verde – ZF, 3.01.23
- Ce se va întâmpla cu consumul? Dar cu preţurile? – ZF, 3.01.23
Ce va fi în 2023: dobânzile se stabilizează şi vor începe să scadă, băncile vor fi destul de reticente cu acordarea de credite noi, piaţa imobiliară rămâne blocată pentru că cererea de credite scade, problema lui Isărescu va fi să nu scadă cursul valutar, nu să crească, adie vânt rece în IT şi atenţie la dosarul Roşia Montană – Cristian Hostiuc, ZF, 8.01.23
Edelman Trust Barometer: 4 steps to rebuilding trust – WEF, 18.01.23
A lack of trust – driven by economic anxiety, disinformation, mass-class divide and leadership failures – has left us polarized.
Global predictions for 2023 – IPSOS, 09.22
Global citizens are struggling to be optimistic about 2023 as most express concern about the state of the economy, the environment and world security.
IMF Upgrades Outlook For the Global Economy in 2023 – Time, 31.01.23
- The outlook for the global economy is growing slightly brighter as China eases its zero-COVID policies and the world shows surprising resilience in the face of high inflation, elevated interest rates and Russia’s ongoing war against Ukraine.
- That’s the view of the International Monetary Fund, which now expects the world economy to grow 2.9% this year. That forecast is better than the 2.7% expansion for 2023 that the IMF predicted in October, though down from the estimated 3.4% growth in 2022.
- Kristalina Georgieva (FMI): Perspectivele economice sunt mai puţin sumbre decât se credea în urmă cu câteva luni – reuters, 20.01.23
- IMF’s Georgieva urges monetary authorities to ‘stay put’ despite optimism – WEF, 20.01.23
Global Economic Prospects: Sharp, Long-lasting Slowdown to Hit Developing Countries Hard – WB, 10.01.23
Growth in advanced economies is projected to slow from 2.5% in 2022 to 0.5% in 2023. Over the past two decades, slowdowns of this scale have foreshadowed a global recession.
- Banca Mondială: Economia mondială ar putea intra în recesiune în 2023 – reuters, 10.01.23
- Banca Mondială estimează o creştere de 2,6% a economiei româneşti în acest an – agerpres, 10.01.23
Global Economic Outlook: Is this the End of an Era? – Davos 2023, WEF, 21.01.23
- Recession in 2023? That depends on where you are in the world – WEF, 16.01.23
- Recession in 2023? Here’s how trade unions are gearing up – WEF, 16.01.23
PwC’s 26th Annual Global CEO Survey – 16.01.23
Evolve or die, say 4,410 chief executives in our 2023 CEO Survey. But are they spending enough time on business reinvention? Many tell us no.
- 26th Annual CEO Survey – Central and Eastern Europe
The war in Ukraine has put the global spotlight on Central and Eastern Europe. From Germany’s eastern border to the frontier of China, CEOs throughout the region are dealing with the fallout from the conflict, which is also driving uncertainty around the world.
PwC’s 26th Annual CEO Survey Launch – PwC, 16.01.23
- Leaders need to empower and engage their people like never before if they are to withstand the pressures of today’s economic environment and long-term disruptors.
- Hear from our Global Chairman Bob Moritz live at the World Economic Forum’s Annual Meeting in Davos as he discusses the key survey findings and insights we’ve collected from 4,410 CEOs across 105 different countries and territories.
- The importance of geopolitics to corporate strategies is at its highest level in a generation; executives need to manage political opportunities and risks.
- Governments’ pursuit of self-sufficiency will be driven by geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainties and environmental sustainability.
- Geopolitical developments are likely to continue to influence supply chain strategies, shift investment destinations and push up costs for companies.
- Goldman Sachs – This Cycle Is Different
- JP Morgan – A bad year for the economy, a better year for markets
- Morgan Stanley – Applying the Lessons of a Turbulent Year to 2023
- Blackrock – A new investment playbook
- HSBC – Looking for the Silver Lining
- Barclays – Living with shock and awe
- UBS – Calm waters turn choppy
- Credit Suisse – A fundamental reset
- BNP Parisbas – Investing in an age of transformation
- Deutsche Bank – Resilience versus recession
- ING – ‘May he live in interesting times’
The 2023 outlook research report dump – Financial Times, 4.01.23
Amid the holiday torpor, some semi-useful content has actually floated around LinkedIn — extensive round-ups of investment bank and asset manager outlook reports on what to expect this year.
The outlook for 2023 is uncertain, but here’s what we know about the global labour market – Allen Blue, Co-Founder and Vice-President, Products, LinkedIn, WEF, 18.01.23
Global Wage Report 2022-23 – ILO, 11.22
The impact of COVID-19 and inflation on wages and purchasing power.
- 3 things manufacturers must focus on to thrive in 2023 – Francisco Betti, Head, Shaping the Future of Advanced Manufacturing & Value Chains, WEF, 18.01.23
- This is how entrepreneurship will change in 2023 – Rishi Khosla, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer, OakNorth, WEF, 14.01.23
Business trends, risks and people to watch in 2023 – Financial Times, 2.01.23
What to look for this year in the corporate world in sectors from energy to private capital and technology.
Being ready for anything is top priority for 2023 – Peter Thal Larsen, Reuters, 3.01.23
Anyone trying to think about what 2023 will bring is confronted by a staggering array of possibilities. This is why many chief executives and investors have dispensed with forecasts, preferring to plan for a range of scenarios. Some of these are specific: What happens if Chinese President Xi Jinping orders an invasion of Taiwan? What if Putin unleashes tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine? What if a cyberattack cripples critical infrastructure? In many cases, just envisaging possibilities requires a leap of imagination.
Three Economic Stories to Watch in 2023 – Adam Tooze, FP, 01.23
The downturn in the U.S. housing market, the yield curve control of the Bank of Japan, and the debt crisis in Africa.
- 2023 Will Test Companies’ Commitment to Social Responsibility – HBR, 19.12.22
High Rates, Slow China, Broken World: Three Risks for 2023 – CNBC, 11.22
- Tom Orlik, Chief Economist, Bloomberg Economics speaks at the 2022 Bloomberg New Economy Forum in Singapore.
5 ways digitalization can help build global resilience in 2023 – Börje Ekholm, President and Chief Executive Officer, Ericsson, WEF, 16.01.23
How to build resilience in 2023 and beyond – McKinsey, 12.22
2023 is likely to start off on a high note—of interest rates and cost of capital, that is. For companies to thrive in this “higher for longer” era, they need structural solutions that not only manage costs but also build resilience and drive long-term value creation.
energie / climă
What’s the global energy outlook for 2023? – WEF, 16.01.23
apă / agri
Four ways to make 2023 count in the pursuit of resilient and sustainable food systems – Berry Marttin, Member of the Executive Board, Rabobank, Agnes Kalibata, President, AGRA, WEF, 12.01.23
Gartner Top 10 Strategic Predictions for 2023 and Beyond – Gartner, 12.22
Is your organization ready to turn uncertainty into opportunity? These predictions help you (re)imagine what your organization might need to prepare for.
Tech Trends 2023 – Deloitte, 12.22
Deloitte’s 14th annual Tech Trends report explores the impact of emerging technologies on groundbreaking innovations and foundational business areas. Stories of pioneering organizations show what’s happening now, describe what’s new, and project what could be coming next.
- Tech Trends 2023 Prologue – Deloitte, 12.22
A C-suite united on cyber-ready futures – PwC, 10.22
Findings from the 2023 Global Digital Trust Insights
New year’s resolutions for tech in 2023 – McKinsey, 6.01.23
McKinsey Technology leaders offer their insights on how business leaders can make the most of tech this year.
+ Where Is Tech Going in 2023? – HBR, 6.01.23
CES 2023: Key trends – WundermanThomas, 9.01.23
CES 2023: Tech Trends and Gadgets to Expect – WSJ, 3.01.23
- The global trade show CES kicking off this week has been the place for startups to showcase their technologies to potential future partners and customers.
- But the show has been disrupted by the pandemic the past couple of years, and a looming economic downturn has taken a toll on tech companies big and small.
- Top 18 New Technology Trends for 2023 – simply learn, 24.01.23
- Technology to watch: 5 key trends for 2023 – WEF, 19.01.23
- These are the technology trends that will shape our lives in 2023 – CNN, 5.01.23
- Going mainstream: four Web3 developments to watch in 2023 – WEF, 4.01.23
- The Tech That Will Invade Our Lives in 2023 – ny times, 29.12.22
- The Top 10 Tech Trends In 2023 Everyone Must Be Ready For – Bernard Marr, Forbes, 11.22
- Three tech trends on the verge of a breakthrough in 2023 – ZdNet, 11.22
- Top 10 Technology Trends that will shape 2023 – Plain Concepts, 11.22
- New Technology Trends in 2023 – mind majix, 12.22
inovație / creativitate
Innovation Report 2022 – Samsung, 16.01.23
Despre sustenabilitate și ESG, responsabilitatea consumatorilor și a companiilor, concepte precum Reboot, Rebuild sau economie circulară, precum și impactul pozitiv al tehnologiei în educație.
The Future 100: 2023 – WundermanThompson, 01.23
Predictions 2023: Fortune Favors The Bold And Focused – Forrester, 01.23
Accenture Life Trends 2023: Control and Power – Accenture, 01.23
This year, people are seeking ways to adapt in an uncertain world. We’ve identified five emerging trends that will alter the power dynamic between brands and customers in the coming 12 months and beyond.
- Cele cinci tendinţe care vor influenţa business-ul în anul 2023 – bursa, 13.01.23
Journalism, media, and technology trends and predictions 2023 – Nic Newman, Reuters Institute, 10.02.23
- 22 findings from the Reuters Institute’s research in 2022 still relevant in 2023 – Reuters Institute, 12.22
From news avoidance to audience trust and newsroom diversity, our researchers have covered key issues in the past 12 months.
Europe outlook 2023 – EIU, 12.22
Energy market dynamics in 2023 will be just as challenging for Europe as in 2022, and input costs will remain high for years. This will make some industries uncompetitive, leading to a loss of global market share. Our latest report, Europe outlook 2023, explores which sectors will be worst affected
EU: What lies ahead in 2023 – Euractiv, 01.23
In this special report, EURACTIV journalists look at what lies ahead when it comes to EU policy and politics in 2023 – the last full year for the current European Commission and Parliament before the next election in spring 2024.
- EU politics 2023 lookahead: A relative calm before the election storm – Euractiv, 10.01.23
- EU economic policy in 2023: The great unlevelling? – Euractiv, 5.01.23
- EU aims to agree new energy efficiency law in 2023 – Euractiv, 9.01.23
- Stage set for fight over EU’s 2030 renewable energy target – Euractiv, 28.12.22
- Digital policy ranks low on Swedish EU presidency’s priority list – Euractiv, 4.01.23
- Gene editing, CAP, pesticides: What does 2023 hold for the EU agrifood sector? – Euractiv, 4.01.23
Pe agenda UE în 2023: energie, război și competitivitate economică – kapital.bg, 4.01.23
- EU institutions agree on joint priorities for 2023 and 2024 – European Commission, 15.12.22
- Coming up in 2023: renewables, digital transformation, migration – European Parliament, 27.12.22
Pivotal elections, cultural capitals, NATO’s next boss: Emerging Europe in 2023 – Craig Turp-Balazs, Emerging Europe, 31.12.22
- A Year of Victory – Edward Lucas, CEPA, 1.01.23
2023 could go far better for Ukraine than many expect.
- Ukraine — What Will 2023 Bring? – Kseniya Kirillova, CEPA, 4.01.23
It was a brutal 2022 for Ukraine. What can the last 10 months of all-out war tell us about the coming year?
- Peace May Be a Long Way Off in Ukraine in 2023 – FP, 30.12.23
Both sides believe they can win on the battlefield. By Eugene Chausovsky, a senior analyst at the Newlines Institute
- Ucraina va învinge Rusia din punct de vedere militar în 2023 – GMF, 12.22
EU’s Assistance to Ukraine: Looking Ahead to 2023 – GLOBSEC, 12.22
What in the World Will Happen in 2023? – Richard Haass, PS, 2.01.23
The sleeper story of the coming year will be Japan’s emergence as a major geopolitical actor. And, for the first time since the fall of the Shah in 1979, the future of the Islamic Republic will be in serious doubt.
23 things we think will happen in 2023 – Future Perfect/ Vox, 2.01.23
Will Biden and Trump remain the frontrunners? Will Putin remain in charge of Russia? Will China start a war? These and other forecasts of the year to come.
The Director’s Annual Lecture 2023 – Chatham House, 10.01.23
Bronwen Maddox looks ahead to the challenges of the year and sets out Chatham House’s recommendations for change.
- What will progress look like on the climate agenda?
- How will the new US Congress reposition America’s role in the world?
- What does the North/South divergence on Russia’s war in Ukraine tell us about shared values and prospects for working together?
- After a turbulent year, how will the UK recover its standing in Europe and beyond?
- Top ten foreign policy trends for 2023 – ECFR, 4.01.23
Mark Leonard and Jeremy Shapiro forecast the foreign policy trends and events for the year ahead.
What to Watch in 2023 – GMFUS, 6.01.23
- Transatlantic Technology Policy Pipeline 2023 – GMF, 12.22
Technology will remain at the center of policy debates in the United States and the European Union in 2023, with implications for transatlantic cooperation. Here are GMF Digital’s end-of-year tech-related predictions and questions to be answered in the new year.
The World Next Year: What to Watch in 2023 – CFR, 12.22
In this special year-end episode, CFR Senior Fellow Carla Anne Robbins joins James M. Lindsay and Robert McMahon to review the biggest events of 2022 and the stories to keep an eye on next year. They discuss precarious U.S.-China relations, climate change, Russia’s war in Ukraine, Iran’s protests, the state of democracy globally, and more.
- Visualizing 2023: Trends to Watch – CFR, 12.22
Five CFR fellows highlight in charts and graphs some of the most pressing trends to follow in 2023, including the Asia-Pacific’s arms race, the changing relationship between India and Russia, and worsening brain drain in sub-Saharan Africa.
The Top 5 Foreign-Policy Trends We’ll Be Watching in 2023 – FP, 29.12.22
Your go-to guide for what stories to watch in the new year. By Robbie Gramer, a diplomacy and national security reporter at Foreign Policy, and Jack Detsch, a Pentagon and national security reporter at Foreign Policy
What’s Going to Be in Biden’s Inbox in 2023 – FP, 2.01.23
Russia, Ukraine, China, and nukes: Here are the biggest foreign policy challenges facing the U.S. next year. By Amy Mackinnon, Jack Detsch, Robbie Gramer, Rishi Iyengar, and Christina Lu
What to Expect From China in 2023 – FP, 22.12.22
Three experts predict how Beijing will manage China’s economy, the pandemic, protests, Taiwan, and relations with Washington. By Ravi Agrawal, the editor in chief of Foreign Policy.
- 2023’s Most Important Election Isn’t Where You Think – FP, 6.01.23
Why the world’s eyes will be—or should be—on Nigeria in the coming weeks. By Howard W. French, a columnist at Foreign Policy
Five Elections to Watch in 2023 – CFR, 12.22
Conflicts to Watch in 2023 – CFR, 4.01.23
For CFR’s annual Preventive Priorities Survey, U.S. foreign policy experts assessed the likelihood and impact of thirty potential conflicts that could emerge or escalate in 2023.
- Great Power Conflict and Development of Nuclear Weapons Are the Top Global Concerns for 2023, CFR Survey Finds – CFR, 4.01.23
10 Conflicts to Watch in 2023 – FP, 1.01.23
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is still reverberating around the world—and setting the stage for more large-scale violence to come. By Comfort Ero, the president and CEO of the International Crisis Group, and Richard Atwood, executive vice president of the International Crisis Group
- Will 2023 Be More Peaceful Than 2022? – FP, 23.12.22
This year saw Russia invade Ukraine, China’s Xi Jinping secure a third term, and Iranians take to the streets. What will 2023 look like? By Emma Ashford, a senior fellow with the Reimagining U.S. Grand Strategy program at the Stimson Center, and Matthew Kroenig, deputy director of the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security
The 20 humanitarian crises the world cannot ignore in 2023 — and what to do about them – David Miliband, President, International Rescue Committee, WEF, 14.01.23
Why the World Feels Different in 2023 – FP, 12.01.23
From climate negotiations to sports to diplomacy, the global south is becoming more powerful. By Ravi Agrawal, the editor in chief of Foreign Policy
- Looking Ahead to 2023 by Looking Back – FP, 4.01.23
What last year’s foreign-policy events can tell us about this year’s. By Stephen M. Walt, a columnist at Foreign Policy and the Robert and Renée Belfer professor of international relations at Harvard University
- Stephen Walt on the Underweighted Risks of 2023 – FP, 27.12.23
A realist POV on the war in Ukraine, competition with China, COVID, and more. By Ravi Agrawal, the editor in chief of Foreign Policy.