Războiul Rusia-Ucraina: Dinamici – doc

Ucraina: Dinamici
Agenda US-Ua
Agenda Ro-Ua
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Refugiații Ucraineni
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Ce nu va mai fi la fel
Rusia: Dinamici. Tendințe
Rusia: Efectul sancțiunilor
Agenda Eu-Ru
Agenda US-Ru
Agenda US/UE-Ru
Agenda Cn-Ru / Ua
Belarus: Dinamici. Tendințe
Flancul Estic
NATO: Dinamici. Tendințe
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Dezinformarea dinspre Rusia
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Marea Neagră: Dinamici. Tendințe
Europa de Est: Dinamici. Tendințe
War – UkrInform / Russia’s war – Kiiv Independent / Russian Aggression – EuroMaidanPress // Meduza // Ukraine Crisis – the Moscow Times // Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in maps – FT
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Conflict in Ukraine – CFR // Ukraine crisis – Politico / Russia’s invasion of Ukraine (2022) – DW / Ukraine – der Spiegel / Guerre en Ukraine – Le Monde / Russia Invades Ukraine – RFERL / War in Ukraine – BBC / Ukraine – the Guardian / Russia-Ukraine war – the Times / War in Ukraine – FT / Ukraine at war – the Economist
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Tracking Russia’s Aggression in Ukraine / Russia Threatens Ukraine : What Russia WantsWashington’s MovesRegional ImpactLatest Stories – Foreign Policy // Ukraine – Foreign Affairs // The Russia-Ukraine Crisis – Project Syndicate
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Ukraine – GZero / Ukraine / Ukraine invasion 2022 – The Conversation / Ukraine – Le Grand Continent / Russian invasion of Ukraine – Vox

Ukraine war – Nikkei Asia / Russia-Ukraine War – Japan Times / Ukraine – Asia Times/ Ukraine war – SCMP
ucraina – agerpres
ucraina – news.ro
Război în Ucraina – hotnews
ucraina – europa liberă
Război în Ucraina – veridica
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Conflictul Rusia-Ucraina – libertatea
Război în Ucraina – digi24
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Război în Ucraina – panorama

negocierile de pace / alarmele / analize la cald / începutul războiului / ce spun rușii, occidentalii / implicarea eu-nato-sua // rezistența / chestiuni militare ante / chestiuni politice ante // perspective din 2021


rapide

The West Finally Starts Rolling Out the Big Guns for Ukraine – FP, 15.04.22
Some Ukrainians fear it could be too little, too late. By Robbie Gramer, Jack Detsch, and Amy Mackinnon

6 Questions About Russia’s War in Ukraine, Answered – FP, 18.03.22
Your guide to Foreign Policy’s coverage of the war so far. By Christina Lu, an editorial fellow at Foreign Policy

How Putin Bungled His Invasion of Ukraine – FP, 18.03.22
Faulty assumptions, terrible logistics, and a ferocious Ukrainian resistance have turned Russian President Vladimir Putin’s Ukrainian adventure to ashes—for now. By Jack Detsch, Foreign Policy’s Pentagon and national security reporter, and Amy Mackinnon, a national security and intelligence reporter at Foreign Policy



chestiunea încetării luptelor / războiului

TALKING PEACE: Former Prime Minister of Finland, Alexander Stubb – The Agenda with Stephen Cole, 9.04.22

  • Talks to bring peace to Ukraine appear to have somewhat stalled in the wake of escalating claims and counter claims of war crimes in the region. But as and when peace talks do resume, just what might the two sides really have to negotiate with? And what’s it really like to be a part of such talks?
  • One man who knows better than most is the Former Prime Minister of Finland, Alexander Stubb, who brokered the peace deal in Georgia in 2008, and here he gives Stephen his take on what he says could be a long and difficult road to peace.

Ukraine Is Ready for Painful Concessions – FP, 30.03.22

Russia Claims It Is Open to Peace Negotiations. Few Are Convinced – FP, 29.03.22

The Realist Case for a Ukraine Peace Deal – FP, 29.03.22
Conflict resolution isn’t just for woolly-headed idealists. By Stephen M. Walt, a columnist at Foreign Policy and the Robert and Renée Belfer professor of international relations at Harvard University

What Does Russia Want in Ukraine? – FP, 29.03.22
Russian officials said they are backing off of Kyiv. But that doesn’t mean the invasion is over. By Jack Detsch, Foreign Policy’s Pentagon and national security reporter, and Robbie Gramer, a diplomacy and national security reporter at Foreign Policy

Would a Peace Deal Between Russia and Ukraine Do More Harm Than Good? – FP, 25.03.22
While a serious negotiated settlement could end Ukrainians’ suffering, a premature peace deal could be the worst possible outcome for Kyiv. By Emma Ashford, a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, and Matthew Kroenig, deputy director of the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security

Volodimir Zelenski, nou apel la pace către Rusia: prelungirea războiului va afecta multe generaţii – CdG, 19.03.22

War in Ukraine: how could this end? – The Economist, 16.03.22

Expert militar german: Toate părţile trebuie să facă acum concesii dureroase – DW, 13.03.22
Îşi extinde Rusia războiul împotriva Ucrainei? Vor renunţa Putin şi Zelenski la poziţiile lor maximaliste pentru a putea ajunge la compromis? Colonelul (rez.) german Wolfgang Richter a oferit un interviu Deutsche Welle.

Ukraine’s Kuleba on Russia Talks, Neutrality, Sanctions – Bloomberg, 11.03.22

Hints of a Ukraine-Russia Deal? – FP, 8.03.22
Zelensky appears to float suggestions of a compromise, but U.S. officials fear Putin could double down. By Michael Hirsh, a senior correspondent at Foreign Policy

Ucraina acceptă să meargă la negocieri cu Rusia la frontiera cu Belarus – 27.02.22



alarmele

Why Washington Should Take Russian Nuclear Threats Seriously – FP, 5.05.22
Historically, states have escalated when facing the prospect of imminent defeat—and Putin has a track record of following through on his threats. By Stephen M. Walt, a columnist at Foreign Policy and the Robert and Renée Belfer professor of international relations at Harvard University

Russia Prepares Destructive Cyberattacks – FP, 30.03.22
So far, Moscow’s forays in cyberspace have been as ineffective as its frontal assaults—but that could change. By Jack Detsch, Foreign Policy’s Pentagon and national security reporter, and Mary Yang, an intern at Foreign Policy

Bogged-Down Russian Troops Resort to Deadly Cluster Munitions – FP, 16.03.22
Weapons investigators say Russian use of cluster munitions across Ukraine—which are banned by most countries—has been “flagrant and widespread.” By Sara Hagos, an intern at Foreign Policy, and Jack Detsch, Foreign Policy’s Pentagon and national security reporter

Sending Old Fighter Jets to Ukraine Is a Terrible Idea – FP, 14.03.22
The urge to do something is strong, but there are more practical ways to help. By Blake Herzinger, a civilian Indo-Pacific defense policy specialist and U.S. Navy Reserve officer

Borrell, după răpirea primarilor: Rusia încearcă să instaleze structuri guvernamentale ilegitime în Ucraina, ţară suverană – 13.03.22

Putin Reaches for the Syria Playbook as Ukraine Invasion Stalls – FP, 2.03.22

‘It Is Horrendous’: Russia Prepares Vacuum Bombs to Blitz Ukraine – FP, 1.03.22


Could Putin really start a nuclear war? – The Economist, 1.03.22


Why is Russia focusing on Ukrainian nuclear plants? – ABC, 11.03.22



analize la cald

Where Does Putin’s War Go From Here? – FP, 28.03.22
Experts outline five ways Russia’s bloody invasion of Ukraine might end. By Amy Mackinnon, Jack Detsch, and Robbie Gramer

The Road Ahead for Ukraine – FP, 25.03.33

  • FP editor in chief Ravi Agrawal sat down with Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group president and founder, to cover the Western response to the war in Ukraine, China’s role in the conflict, and the geopolitical ripple effects from the last few weeks. 

How Far Will Putin Go? – FP, 21.03.22

  • FP editor in chief Ravi Agrawal sat down with former U.S. Ambassador to NATO Ivo Daalder, three weeks after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, to discuss the current response from the West, avoiding nuclear consequences, and just how far Russian President Vladimir Putin is willing to go.

How Long Could Ukraine War Last? “Possibly Years,” Says Fmr. Defense Official – Amanpour and Company, 9.03.22

  • Former Under-Secretary of Defense Michèle Flournoy has close ties with the Clinton and Obama administrations, as well as with current Secretary of State Antony Blinken. Flournoy joins Walter Isaacson to discuss the impact of the Ukraine crisis on America’s security interests — particularly in the case of China.

Russian Invasion of Ukraine: “A New Iron Curtain Is Falling” – Amanpour and Company, 4.03.22

  • President Biden must rally not only a divided America, but also the world, against Putin’s aggression — this according to Susan Glasser, a writer for The New Yorker and former Moscow bureau chief for The Washington Post. She joins Michel Martin to discuss how the U.S. President should respond to Putin’s war.

FP Live on What’s Next for Ukraine – FP, 3.03.22
In this FP Live, Foreign Policy editor in chief Ravi Agrawal sits down with panelists Anne-Marie Slaughter, CEO of New America; former intelligence official Angela Stent; and David Miliband, president of the International Rescue Committee. After Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the panelists discuss next steps in the conflict and consequences for the international community.



începutul războiului – pozițiile la moscova / kiev

How Putin Bungled His Invasion of Ukraine – FP, 18.03.22

War in Ukraine: Seven days that changed the world – BBC News, 6.03.22

Russia Has Deployed Two-Thirds of Its Amassed Forces Into Ukraine, U.S. Officials Say – FP, 27.02.22
But Moscow’s troops are facing stiff resistance and logistical challenges. By Amy Mackinnon, a national security and intelligence reporter at Foreign Policy

Biden says a Russian invasion of Ukraine “would change the world” – 15.02.22



rezistența

Continuity of Government in UkraineWilliam Courtney , Khrystyna Holynska, RAND, 25.02.22


luptătorii străini

The International Brigade 2.0 – FP, 211.03.22
The foreign volunteers in Ukraine follow those who fought fascism in the Spanish Civil War. By Robert Zaretsky, a professor of history at the University of Houston’s Honors College and the author of Victories Never Last: Reading and Caregiving in a Time of Plague

Moscow Turns U.S. Volunteers Into New Bogeyman in Ukraine – FP, 15.03.22
With Russia’s use of mercenaries growing, the Kremlin seeks distractions. By Justin Ling, a journalist based in Toronto

The Risky Status of Ukraine’s Foreign Fighters – FP, 15.03.22
Russia has labeled Ukraine’s foreign fighters “mercenaries”—raising questions about their legal status if captured. By David Malet, an associate professor of public affairs at American University

Foreign fighters flocking to Ukraine: French volunteers join the resistance – FRANCE 24, 14.3.22

What’s the impact of foreign fighters on the war in Ukraine? – Al Jazeera, 13.02.22

  • Ukraine says 20,000 volunteers from 52 countries have signed up to join an international legion. On the Russian side, President Vladimir Putin has approved allowing foreign fighters, with the defence ministry saying 16,000 volunteers from the Middle East are ready to join. So, what consequences will foreign fighters face under international law?

Foreign fighters join the battle to defend Ukraine – ABC News, 13.03.22

  • Ukraine says 20,000 volunteers from 52 countries have signed up to join an international legion. On the Russian side, President Vladimir Putin has approved allowing foreign fighters, with the defence ministry saying 16,000 volunteers from the Middle East are ready to join. So, what consequences will foreign fighters face under international law?

Ukraine’s Foreign Legion Is Ready for Battle – FP, 7.03.22
Thousands of fighters are already flooding into Ukraine from around the world. By Anchal Vohra, a columnist for Foreign Policy and a freelance TV correspondent and commentator on the Middle East based in Beirut


războiul civililor


rezistența locală

‘Either we win or we die.’ Ukrainians join resistance to fight Putin – politico, 15.03.22
An unlikely army of beauticians, engineers and teachers mobilizes against the Russian invasion.

The Ukrainians returning home to fight, and to teach – WP, 13.03.22

Odesa’s Defense Stiffened by Belarusian Volunteers – FP, 13.03.22
For hundreds who fled Minsk’s oppression, Ukraine’s fight has become theirs. By Stefanie Glinski, a journalist and photographer who reports on conflict and humanitarian crisis

In Ukraine, Refugees Flee West—and Volunteer Fighters Flood to the East – FP, 7.03.22
Thousands of Ukrainian men are rushing toward the threatened capital for hasty military training. By Stefanie Glinski, a journalist and photographer who reports on conflict and humanitarian crisis


Ukraine : Ces civils ont pris les armes pour défendre leur pays – FRANCE 24, 13.03.22

‘Street Fight’: Russia’s Block-by-Block Warfare in Ukraine – FP, 28.02.22
The U.S. military academy’s top expert on urban warfare is giving Ukrainians a crash course on Twitter. By Jack Detsch, Foreign Policy’s Pentagon and national security reporter

What Kind of Resistance Can Ukraine Mount?Stephen J. Flanagan, Marta Kepe, RAND, 28.02.22

Ukraine Is Betting on Militias to Bleed Russia – FP, 26.01.22
Ukraine hopes 130,000 new civilian defensive forces will make Putin think twice. By Jack Detsch, Foreign Policy’s Pentagon and national security reporter.




spatele frontului: ce spun cetățenii ruși / europeni / americani

Russian State TV Pundits Call On Putin To End Ukraine Attacks – 12.03.22

What do Russians really think of the war? – gzero, 10.03.22

À Moscou, des Russes contre la guerre – mediapart, 10.03.22

Russian news anchor says millions of Russians feel invasion is a catastrophe – GPS/ CNN, 7.03.22

  • Russian news director and anchor, Ekaterina Kotrikadze, speaks to CNN’s Fareed Zakaria about the state of the country’s news media after her station, TV Rain, shut down due to the Russian government’s crackdown on local media over unfavorable coverage of the war in Ukraine.

What do Russians in Estonia think about the war in Ukraine? – DW, 6.03.22



implicarea europeană + arma sancțiunilor


No longer only deeply concerned: Europe’s military response to the Russian war and what next – ECFR, 10.03.22

  • Ahead of the EU summit, French and Polish experts will discuss the European security situation as the war in Ukraine unfolds. They will analyse the current developments, EU’s role in the conflict and challenges for the EU security and defence in the upcoming months.

Decisive days: How the West can help Ukraine surviveGustav Gressel, ECFR, 8.03.22


implicarea nato + agenda us-ua

Kamala Harris: Strategia lui Putin include minciuni, dezinformare şi agresiune – DW, 11.03.22
Vladimir Putin nu dă niciun semn că ar dori o soluție diplomatică după ce a invadat Ucraina, acuză vicepreședintele american. Statele Unite vor apăra fiecare centimetru din NATO, a promis Kamala Harris la București.


implicarea turciei



chestiuni militare – înaintea invaziei

Kyiv and Potential Conflict: A Conversation With a Former U.S. Intelligence Officer – FP, 18.02.22
Amy Mackinnon—live from Kyiv—discusses the Ukraine crisis with former senior intelligence officer Andrea Kendall-Taylor.

Russia Planning Post-Invasion Arrest and Assassination Campaign in Ukraine, U.S. Officials Say – FP, 18.02.22
Intelligence on possible targets has been shared with Ukraine and other partners in the region. By Amy Mackinnon, Robbie Gramer, and Jack Detsch

Biden: Putin Has Decided to Invade Ukraine. But the United States is still trying to deny Russia a pretext for war – FP, 18.02.22

‘Kill Your Commanding Officer’: On the Front Lines of Putin’s Digital War With Ukraine – politico, 15.02.22
For years, the Russians have used Ukraine as a proving ground for a new type of digital warfare. Is the West ready? By Kenneth R. Rosen

Kyiv Is Calm, but Ukrainians Are Quietly Bracing for War – FP, 14.02.22
Officials in Kyiv have downplayed Western warnings of an imminent Russian invasion—but many in the capital are learning self-defense and locating bomb shelters. By Amy Mackinnon, a national security and intelligence reporter at Foreign Policy

No Invasion Wouldn’t Mean an End to the Ukraine Crisis – FP, 17.02.22
Moscow has plenty of options short of full-blown war. By Eugene Chausovsky, a nonresident fellow at the Newlines Institute

‘They Are No Longer Our Brothers’ – FP, 10.02.22
On the front lines of Ukraine’s frozen conflict, soldiers fight cold and boredom—but worry little about a Russian invasion. By Liz Cookman, a freelance journalist based in Istanbul covering Turkey, Syria, and the wider Middle East

Russian Black Sea Exercises Raise Specter of Naval Blockade – FP, 10.02.22
Blocking Ukraine’s ports for an extended period could “suffocate” the country’s economy, experts say. By Amy Mackinnon, a national security and intelligence reporter at Foreign Policy


Ukraine Pins Hopes on Javelin Missiles to Dent Putin’s Armor – FP, 26.01.22
And soldiers tend to fire them at everything. By Jack Detsch, Foreign Policy’s Pentagon and national security reporter.

The West’s Weapons Won’t Make Any Difference to Ukraine – FP, 21.01.22
U.S. military equipment wouldn’t realistically help Ukrainians—or intimidate Putin. By Samuel Charap, a senior political scientist at the Rand Corporation, and Scott Boston, a senior defense analyst at the Rand Corp

‘They’re So Destructive’: Russian Missiles Could Dominate Ukraine’s Skies – FP, 20.01.22
The United States enjoyed decades of air dominance. Not anymore. By Jack Detsch, Foreign Policy’s Pentagon and national security reporter


Tensiunile pe tema Ucrainei: UE amenință Rusia cu sancțiuni “nemaiîntâlnite până acum” / NATO trimite nave și avioane în Europa de Est / Rubla și bursa rusă, în picaj – 24.01.22

Tensiunile escaladează: NATO intensifică prezenţa militară în estul Europei. Franţa, SUA, Danemarca, Spania, Olanda trimit trupe în Est. Rusia denunţă “limbajul ameninţărilor” şi cere retragerea forţelor militare – zf, 24.01.22

Half Measures Are Worse Than Nothing in Ukraine – FP, 21.01.22
Weak commitments may make the crisis spiral further. By Michael Hikari Cecire, a senior policy advisor at the U.S. Helsinki Commission


What a ‘Minor’ Russian Incursion Into Ukraine May Look Like – FP, 21.01.22
Don’t expect Russian ground forces to try to hold territory. By Jack Detsch, Foreign Policy’s Pentagon and national security reporter

‘Don’t Freaking Test Us’: U.S. Sanctions Alleged Intelligence Operatives Undermining Ukraine – FP, 20.01.22
It’s part of an effort to shed light on Russia’s orchestrated campaign to destabilize Kyiv—and even take over Ukraine. By Amy Mackinnon, a national security and intelligence reporter at Foreign Policy

Russia Planning Provocation in Ukraine as Pretext for War – FP, 14.01.22
Warnings from U.S. officials come amid a cyberattack on Ukrainian government websites. By Amy Mackinnon, Jack Detsch, and Robbie Gramer



chestiuni politice – înaintea invaziei

Ce au făcut ucrainenii ca să schimbe în două zile atitudinea Occidentului față de războiul cu Putin. Interviu cu o fostă consilieră a prim-ministrului Ucrainei și expertă în politică internațională – hotnews, 26.02.22

Ucraina invocă Acordul de la Viena și cere oficial explicații Rusiei / Ce este Mecanismul de Reducere a Riscurilor – hotnews, 11.02.22

Diplomats Can’t Wait for the Sky to Fall – FP, 17.02.22
The Ukraine crisis is a reminder of how farsighted diplomacy can resolve conflicts before they spiral out of control. By Chester Crocker, an Emeritus Professor of strategic studies at Georgetown University. He served as U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs from 1981-89

Is There a Diplomatic Offramp in Ukraine? – FP, 10.02.22
As Russia masses troops along the border—and in Belarus—the prospects for peaceful resolution are fading, but there are options. By Emma Ashford, a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, and Matthew Kroenig, deputy director of the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security

Implicare zadarnică în favoarea Ucrainei – DW, 5.02.22
Nici limba ucraineană, nici cultura şi nici ţara însăşi nu figurează în percepţia germanilor. Chiar dacă au trecut 30 de ani de independenţă, germanii nu au luat act de nimic din toate acestea, scrie Iuri Andruhovici.

  • Why Is Putin Acting Now? – FP, 26.01.22
    Multiple factors are driving Russia’s escalation against Ukraine. By Maria Snegovaya, a postdoctoral fellow in political science at Virginia Tech and a visiting scholar at the Institute for European, Russian, and Eurasian Studies at the George Washington University
  • Putin’s Calculus Over Ukraine – FP, 26.01.22
    The Russian leader risks huge casualties and painful sanctions if he invades, but he’s left himself little room to de-escalate. By Amy Mackinnon, a national security and intelligence reporter at Foreign Policy, and Jack Detsch, Foreign Policy’s Pentagon and national security reporter.

Biden Ponders the Sanctions Doomsday Device – FP, 26.01.22
Washington has created and tested a powerful toolkit of sanctions—but never applied them at scale. By Edward Alden, a columnist at Foreign Policy, a visiting professor at Western Washington University, and a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations

Moldovan lessons for the Ukraine conflictAndrew Wilson, ECFR, 21.01.22
Relations between Moldova and Transnistria seem to be losing some of their traditional hostility. But, if Russia is in a hurry to achieve a public relations victory in Moldova, Chisinau will find it difficult to make progress in talks with the Transnistrian authorities.

What Do You Want To Know About The Ukraine Crisis? – FP, 20.01.22
FP’s team of reporters and experts can help answer other big questions you may have about this rapidly evolving crisis, such as: What would the effects of a potential war have on Russia’s already faltering economy? What about on the supply of energy to Europe? Or, perhaps, how is NATO’s role changing?

The EU’s unforgivable failurePiotr Buras, ECFR, 19.01.21
The EU should respond to the Russian threat to Ukraine by making use of its main strength – economic influence. There is no other way for the union to persuade the great powers struggling over Europe’s future that it is a force to be reckoned with.

Diplomacy for a sovereign Europe: France’s approach to the war in UkraineTara Varma, ECFR, 19.01.22
For France, European sovereignty was at the heart of the recent talks at the meeting of EU foreign ministers in Brest. Paris aims to reinforce Europeans’ position of strength, while doing its utmost to avoid war.

Can the Threat of More U.S. Sanctions Against Russia Save Ukraine? – Adam Tooze/ FP, 14.01.22

Biden Plans U.N. Showdown if Russia Invades Ukraine – FP, 14.01.22
There’s lots of history at the Security Council, but few changes. By Colum Lynch, a senior staff writer at Foreign Policy

Russia Talks Show No Sign of a Quick Resolution on Ukraine Crisis – FP, 13.01.22
U.S. and allies bat down Russian proposals to halt NATO expansion. By Amy Mackinnon, a national security and intelligence reporter at Foreign Policy, and Robbie Gramer, a diplomacy and national security reporter at Foreign Policy

US must seize the initiative at talks with Russia – CH, 7.01.22
When the US and NATO meet Russia to discuss its demands, they must be having the right conversation. There is little sign so far that will happen.

What’s Behind Russia’s Latest Demands – FP, 5.01.22
Moscow has long chafed at Ukraine’s relationship with the West, so why the sudden urgency? By Amy Mackinnon, a national security and intelligence reporter at Foreign Policy



2021


Russia May Underestimate Ukraine and NATOWilliam Courtney , Peter A. Wilson, RAND, 27.12.21


Putin Remains Defiant, Threatens Ukraine in Annual Presser – FP, 23.12.21
Russia’s year-end telethon ends with the usual bombast about Ukraine, NATO, and Father Frost. By Matthew Luxmoore, a Moscow-based journalist covering Russia and the former Soviet Union

Why Ukraine’s Fight Against Corruption Scares Russia – FP, 17.12.21
The country’s democratization and its ongoing efforts to fight entrenched graft and cronyism are a threat to Russian President Vladimir Putin’s model of governance. By Daria Kaleniuk, the executive director of the Anti-corruption Action Center in Ukraine, and Olena Halushka, a board member at the Anti-corruption Action Center in Ukraine

Russians Believe Ukrainians Want to Be ‘Liberated’ – FP, 2.12.21
Delusions about Moscow’s “little brother” are common and dangerous. By Natalia Antonova, a writer, journalist, and online safety expert based in Washington


Defusing the Russia-Ukraine CrisisRichard Haass, CFR, 14.12.21
What to do to deter a Russian invasion of Ukraine—and what to do if deterrence fails.


Secretarul de stat adjunct al SUA: Toate opţiunile sunt deschise faţă de Rusia, în contextul trupelor desfăşurate la graniţa cu Ucraina – 27.11.21

Merkel: UE trebuie să fie pregătită să adopte noi sancțiuni în cazul unor atacuri ale Rusiei / „Orice agresiune suplimentară împotriva suveranităţii Ucrainei va avea un cost mare” – 25.11.21


How Russia Decides When to Invade – FP, 27.12.21
Past attacks suggest Moscow probably won’t move on Ukraine. By Eugene Chausovsky, a nonresident fellow at the Newlines Institute

Is Russia Preparing to Invade Ukraine? – FP, 19.11.21
Moscow’s military buildup is raising eyebrows in Washington as Belarus ups the ante in its standoff with the EU. By Emma Ashford, a senior fellow in the New American Engagement Initiative at the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, and Matthew Kroenig, deputy director of the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security

U.S. Keeps Ukraine Close Amid Russian Build-Up – FP, 18.11.21
Pentagon Chief Lloyd Austin meets with his Ukrainian counterpart today as Washington keeps its attention on Russia. By Colm Quinn, the newsletter writer at Foreign Policy

Russia Isn’t About to Attack Ukraine – FP, 17.11.21
Moscow occupying its neighbor would be expensive, dangerous, and pointless. By Jeff Hawn, a doctoral candidate at the London School of Economics and Political Science’s department of international history

What’s Behind Russia’s Military Buildup Near Ukraine? – FP, 11.11.21
Only the Kremlin knows for sure, but any hostile action risks upsetting a recent thaw in U.S.-Russian relations. By Colm Quinn, the newsletter writer at Foreign Policy


Putin does not need to invade Ukraine to get his way – CH, 21.12.21
World leaders must not let images of tanks panic them into forgetting Russia has other options than invasion – and none of them mean its demands must be met.

Ukraine stands firm, but its allies must do likewise – CH, 20.12.21
Pressing Kyiv to settle at gunpoint is unlikely to deliver Moscow its desired outcome but will drag both parties into a long conflict at the heart of Europe.

Russian treaty proposals hark back to post-Cold War era – CH, 19.12.21
With increased tension and military forces on Ukraine’s border, Russia’s proposed treaties with the US and NATO are a strange tactic, but must not be dismissed.

Russia’s threats place Europe at a pivotal moment – CH, 3.12.21
Democratic societies must face down Russia’s threats around Ukraine. Establishing the limits of Russia’s power will help secure a safer future for Europe.


Rusia pretinde că şi-a retras trupele mobilizate la graniţa cu Ucraina / Kievul susţine că au rămas destule efective – 29.04.21

Rusia a anunțat că-și retrage trupele de la granița cu Ucraina – 22.04.21

Russia Further Ramps Up Military Pressure on Ukraine – FP, 20.04.21
Moscow could just be strong-arming Kyiv and Washington—or preparing another invasion. By Amy Mackinnon, Robbie Gramer

Un atac rusesc pe scară largă în Ucraina? Să nu uităm de Afganistan… – RFI, 15.04.21

Zelenski a solicitat să discute cu Putin, dar încă nu a primit un răspuns / Rusia a comasat peste 40.000 de soldaţi în apropierea frontierei estice a Ucrainei şi alţi 40.000 de soldaţi în Crimeea – G4media, 12.04.21

Rusia a început să transfere nave de desant din Marea Caspică în Marea Neagră – adevărul, 12.04.21

Is Russia Preparing to Go to War in Ukraine? – FP, 9.04.21
Troop buildup near Ukraine’s border is the largest since 2014. By Amy Mackinnon

Is Russia about to launch a fresh offensive in eastern Ukraine? – DW, 9.04.21

  • Russia is reportedly amassing thousands of troops at its border with Ukraine, but the Kremlin denies that the buildup poses a threat. Is Ukraine facing the possibility of a Russian invasion?
  • The United States and EU are watching reports of Russian troop movements on Ukraine’s border with increasing concern. NATO has assured Kyiv that the alliance will continue to support the country’s sovereignty and territorial integrity and monitor the situation closely. The EU’s foreign policy chief, Josep Borrell, has also given Ukraine’s government his assurances. Germany and France, which are mediating between Kyiv and Moscow in the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine as part of the so-called Normandy Format, have made similar pledges.
  • In a phone call with his Ukrainian counterpart, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, President Joe Biden recently affirmed the US’s unwavering support for Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity in the face of Russia’s ongoing aggression in the Donbass and Crimea.”
  • German Chancellor Angela Merkel has called on the Kremlin to unwind its recent military buildup near eastern Ukraine, the chancellor’s office announced in a statement released Thursday.
  • But reports of Russian troop deployments to the regions of Bryansk, Voronezh and Rostov, as well as the annexed Crimean Peninsula, are circulating on social media. Kremlin Spokesman Dmitry Peskov has insisted that Russia, “moves its armed forces within its own territory at its own discretion,” adding that this, “shouldn’t worry anyone and does not pose a threat to anyone.”

De ce se aude iar zăngănitul armelor pe frontul ucrainean – Alexandru Gugoașă, Press One, 8.04.21

Rusia a transferat rachete balistice Iskander în apropierea frontierei cu Ucraina – 9.04.21

Ukraine-Russia tensions – BBC News, 6.04.21

  • Ukraine says 25,000 Russian troops have been stationed on its borders.
  • This has drawn attention to Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014 – the biggest landgrab in Europe since World War Two.

Russia Escalates Conflict in Ukraine – FP, 3.04.21
Is Moscow’s muscle-flexing a show of force or a renewal of the war? By Robbie Gramer, Amy Mackinnon, Jack Detsch

What’s next for the seven-year war in Eastern Ukraine? – Al Jazeera, 3.04.21

Ukraine fears a Putin strike – CH, 2.04.21
Growing tension with the US and pending Duma elections could push the Russian leader into action, writes Konstantin Eggert