Securitate: Mega-Tendințe – doc

27Apr 20223 May 2022

Relații Internaționale: Mega-Tendințe – doc

The U.S. and China Need Ground Rules for AI Dangers – FP, 27.04.22
Autonomous weapon systems pose a serious escalatory risk. By Ryan Fedasiuk, an adjunct fellow in the Technology and National Security program at the Center for a New American Security

Drones Have Come of Age in Russia-Ukraine War – FP, 27.04.22
“A child can operate these drones,” one expert said. By Jack Detsch, Foreign Policy’s Pentagon and national security reporter

Don’t Turn Ukraine Into the Next Syria or Libya – FP, 27.04.22
By flooding the country with arms and foreign fighters, Western leaders could be paving the way for future conflicts. By Tarek Megerisi, a policy fellow with the North Africa and Middle East program at the European Council on Foreign Relations

Russia’s Ukraine Propaganda Has Turned Fully Genocidal – FP, 9.04.22
Egged on by the language of annihilation and extermination, Russian soldiers have become willing executioners. By Alexey Kovalev, an investigative editor at Meduza

Russia’s War Is the End of Magical Thinking – FP, 31.03.22
The Davos view of globalization is dead—and that’s a good thing. By Edward Alden, a columnist at Foreign Policy, a visiting professor at Western Washington University, and a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations

Is an EU Army Coming? – FP, 21.03.22
Russia’s war in Ukraine is turning the European Union into a serious military player. By Elisabeth Braw, a columnist at Foreign Policy and a fellow at the American Enterprise Institute

Moscow Threatens the Balance in the High North – Minna Ålander, Michael Paul, SWP, 31.03.22
In Light of Russia’s War in Ukraine, Finland and Sweden Are Moving Closer to NATO

How the Ukraine invasion drives military spending worldwide – DW, 14.03.22

Germany has decided in principle to buy F-35 fighter-jets from the US, that’s according to new reports citing government sources. Berlin plans to drastically beef-up military spending as a result of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Denmark and Sweden say they’re raising military-spending.
Traditionally, larger nations have spent more on defense: In 2020, the US led the world with a military budget of 778 bBillion dollars. China spent 252 Billion dollars on its military, while Germany spent just 53 Billion. That year, Russia had a military budget of 62 Billion dollars. That’s ten times what Ukraine spent. Its also a greater share of the Russia economy compared to US and Chinese spending.
So which companies are the biggest players in Defense? US company Lockhead Martin – which makes the F-35 – is one of the largest in the industry with sales of 66 Billion dollars last year. It is followed by Europe’s Airbus (60.5) and two more US companies, Raytheon Technologies (60.5) and Boeing (57).
The Stockholm International Peace Research Institute tracks military-expenditures: We asked their senior researcher Lucie Beraud Sudreau to put recent events into perspective.

How to Avoid the Dark Ages of Arms Control – FP, 1.04.22
There are two possible pathways after Ukraine. One of them is harrowing. By Heather Williams, a senior lecturer in the Defence Studies Department at King’s College London

Putin’s Brutal War Shows the Dilemmas of Nuclear Deterrence – FP, 22.03.22
Powerful threats could too easily become real disasters. By Matthew Harries, a senior fellow at the Royal United Services Institute

Putin’s War Is a Death Blow to Nuclear Nonproliferation – FP, 21.03.22
Russia has shown that an attacker with nuclear arms is fundamentally safe. By Andreas Umland, an analyst at the Swedish Institute of International Affairs, and Hugo von Essen, an analyst at the Swedish Institute of International Affairs

A New Nuclear Arms Race Is a Real Possibility – FP, 15.03.22
History suggests the war in Ukraine could put an end to arms control as we know it. By Sarah Bidgood

We Need to Talk About Nuclear Weapons Again – FP, 7.03.22
Vladimir Putin’s nuclear threats plunge the West into a debate it’s not ready for. By Azriel Bermant, a senior researcher at the Institute of International Relations Prague, and Wyn Rees, a professor of international security at the University of Nottingham

Is Putin Resurrecting the Balance of Terror? – FP, 2.03.22
His talk of nuclear “combat” is terrifying—but it could also reawaken the world to much-needed arms control. By Michael Hirsh, a senior correspondent at Foreign Policy

Putin’s nuclear option – politico, 24.02.22
New deployments risk undoing years of nonproliferation progress. By Beatrice Fihn, a Nobel Peace Prize Laureate and executive director of the International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons, ICAN

Why Putin’s War Is the West’s Biggest Test Since World War II – FP, 24.02.22
There is every indication the Russian invasion of Ukraine has been plotted for maximum global impact. By Michael Hirsh, a senior correspondent at Foreign Policy

Insurgency in Ukraine Could Lead to Major War in Europe – FP, 22.02.22
Avoiding escalation with Russia would become even harder. By Jerad I. Harper, an active-duty Army colonel and assistant professor at the U.S. Army War College

Will Ukraine Be Afghanistan All Over Again for Russia? – FP, 22.02.22
Insurgency could make even victory costly for Putin. By John Nagl, a retired Army officer and a visiting professor at the U.S. Army War College
Invasions Don’t Pay Off Anymore – FP, 22.02.22
There’s a reason that full-scale interstate war, of the sort that Russia is inching toward, has become a rarity. By Mark Galeotti, principal director of the consultancy Mayak Intelligence

Securitatea cibernetică a depăşit pandemia în topul îngrijorărilor CEO la nivel global. Ce industrii sunt ameninţate? – Mircea Bozga şi Robert Girdoc, PwC, 8.02.22

Strengthening Democracy Is a Better Counterterrorism Strategy – FP, 24.01.22
The spread of transnational violent groups is primarily a governance problem. Time to start treating it like one. By Jason S. Calder, head of the Washington office of Saferworld, an international peacebuilding organization, and Lauren Van Metre, a senior advisor at the National Democratic Institute

Macron propune în Parlamentul European „o nouă ordine de securitate” în Europa în faţa Rusiei – 19.01.22

Finland and Sweden Are Done With Deference to Russia – FP, 5.01.22
Even if the two Nordic countries don’t join NATO, they have signaled a new era in relations with Moscow. By Elisabeth Braw, a columnist at Foreign Policy and a fellow at the American Enterprise Institute

America Doesn’t Control the Forever Wars – FP, 15.01.22
The slow fall of the nation state’s monopoly on violence will shape future conflicts. By Lucian Staiano-Daniels, a scholar of 17th-century military history

The U.S. Military Is a Helicopter Parent – FP, 13.01.22
Washington needs to trust partner forces to stand on their own feet. By Jerad I. Harper, an active-duty Army colonel and assistant professor at the U.S. Army War College, and John Nagl, a retired Army officer and a visiting professor at the U.S. Army War College

How European security is changing -CG, 10.01.22
Although migration, economic, health, tech and climate policy are increasingly thought of in terms of security, different issues are taking place in each of these policy areas.

2021

Belarus-EU border crisis reveals wider security threat – CH, 8.12.21
By engineering a crisis at the Belarus border, Lukashenka is attempting to exacerbate vulnerabilities within the EU. Securitizing migration is not the answer.

Why Russia Tested Its Anti-Satellite Weapon – FP, 26.12.21
If regulation of space weapons is coming, Putin wants to be ahead of the pack. By Deganit Paikowsky, a researcher and lecturer in the department of international relations at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem

Russia Goes Hypersonic – FP, 4.11
The Russian navy is getting hypersonic missiles in 2022 in a bid to outpace Washington in the next missile race. By Robbie Gramer, a diplomacy and national security reporter at Foreign Policy, and Jack Detsch, Foreign Policy’s Pentagon and national security reporter

Make Russia Take Responsibility for Its Cybercriminals – FP, 9.11
The United States needs a new legal doctrine to handle state-tolerated attacks. By Michael John Williams, an associate professor of international affairs at Syracuse University’s Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs

Europe Needs to Name and Shame Its Small Arms Dealers – FP, 26.10
The spread of weapons is undercutting the European Union’s own security. By Austin Wright, a non-proliferation and strategic trade professional

China’s Orbital Bombardment System Is Big, Bad News—but Not a Breakthrough – FP, 18.10
An attempt to evade missile defenses threatens to worsen a costly arms race. By Jeffrey Lewis

The Army’s Future Is Here—and It Has Robot Dogs With Guns – FP, 14.10
The Army grapples with how to showcase readiness and relevance in a new era of competition with China. By Jack Detsch, Foreign Policy’s Pentagon and national security reporter, and Robbie Gramer, a diplomacy and national security reporter at Foreign Policy

Vladimir Putin: Cursa înarmărilor este în marş, din păcate. A început odată cu retragerea SUA din Tratatul antirachete balistice, în 2002 – 13.10

Merkel susține că Europa trebuie să își definească mai clar propriile interese de securitate: „America nu mai este pregătită să-şi asume în mod necondiţionat un rol de lider pretutindeni în lume” – 11.10

The U.S. Military Needs to Learn How to Train Auxiliary Armies
The Afghan army’s collapse shows American forces are using the wrong approach. By Bret Devereaux

Departure of Private Contractors Was a Turning Point in Afghan Military’s Collapse – FP, 16.08
For two decades, contractors provided key maintenance and military support. By Jack Detsch

‘The Question Not Being Discussed Is Whether the War Is Just or Necessary’ – FP, 24.09
In a new book, a Yale historian argues that Washington is setting a dangerous international precedent for permanent war. By Michael Hirsh, a senior correspondent at Foreign Policy

Why Mexico Is Right to Sue U.S. Gun Companies – FP, 12.08
The lawsuit over drug cartel violence could be part of a bigger change on guns. By Ioan Grillo, a journalist based in Mexico specializing in crime and drugs

Trafic ilegal cu arme americane denunţat de guvernul mexican – RFI, 6.08

Climate Change Disaster Response Is the Military’s New Forever War – FP, 5.08
Wildfires in drought-stricken American West suck in military resources, in a sign of the new normal. By Robbie Gramer, Christina Lu

NATO și UE condamnă atacul asupra navei Mercer Street: Libertatea de navigație este vitală / Aliații, îngrijorați de acțiunile destabilizatoare ale Iranului în regiune – 3.08

Even a Short War Over Taiwan or the Baltics Would Be Devastating – FP, 29.07
Scenarios and war games rarely take full account of civilian losses. By Daniel R. Mahanty, the director of the U.S. program at the Center for Civilians in Conflict

Can the World Avoid War in Cyberspace—and in Space? – FP, 23.07
Billionaire rocket launches and ongoing cyberattacks reveal that, without norms governing conflict, there could be chaos. By Emma Ashford, a senior fellow in the New American Engagement Initiative at the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, and Matthew Kroenig, deputy director of the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security

Russia’s Wagner Group Doesn’t Actually Exist – FP, 6.07
And that makes it all the more challenging to get to grips with. By Amy Mackinnon

Killer Flying Robots Are Here. What Do We Do Now? – FP, 5.07
A new generation of AI-enabled drones could be used to terrible ends by rogue states, criminal groups, and psychopaths. By Vivek Wadhwa, a columnist at Foreign Policy and a fellow at Harvard Law School’s Labor and Worklife Program, and Alex Salkever, a technology writer and futurist

Germany warns: AI arms race already underway – DW, 7.06
The world is entering a new era of warfare, with artificial intelligence taking center stage. AI is making militaries faster, smarter and more efficient. But if left unchecked, it threatens to destabilize the world.

Military drones in Europe – CH, 30.04
Ensuring transparency and accountability

Gaza and Nagorno-Karabakh Were Glimpses of the Future of Conflict – FP, 21.06
Some technological claims panned out in recent wars, but others flopped. By Jason Crabtree, the CEO of QOMPLX, a commercial cybersecurity and risk analytic firm

The U.S. Army Goes to School on Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict – FP, 31.03
Off-the-shelf air power changes the battlefield of the future. By Jack Detsch

Unified Threats Need Decentralized Deterrence – FP, 11.05
The United States can’t afford to contain its allies anymore. By Jacob Helberg

What Comes After the Forever Wars – FP, 28.04
An era of U.S. grand strategy is now ending. Here’s what should come next. By Stephen M. Walt

New military security architecture needed in the Arctic – CH, 4.05
Mounting military pressure in the European Arctic can no longer be ignored. The US must address the issue and build proper mechanisms for dialogue on security.

Pentagonul investighează posibile atacuri energetice în apropierea Casei Albe / Îngrijorări legate de „Sindromul Havana” pe teritoriul SUA – 29.04

Exportul de arme al Germaniei în Orientul Mijlociu a depășit, în 2020, un miliard de euro – 4.01