Relații Internaționale: Mega-Tendințe / Noul Normal – doc

15Apr 20226 May 2022

Securitate: Mega-Tendințe – doc

The State of the World – Richard Haas, CFR, 15.04.22

Putin’s War Is an Existential Crisis for the United Nations – FP, 1.04.22
It needs to be replaced by an organization where one nation cannot escape accountability because it is in a special class. By Yevgeny Vindman, a colonel in the U.S. Army JAG Corps who served as deputy legal advisor on the White House National Security Council from 2018 to 2020

Russia’s Actions Fuel Calls for U.N. to Rein in Security Council Veto Power – FP, 1.03.22
The U.N. Charter puts limits on the veto power permanent members enjoy. Now, some countries want that enforced. By Colum Lynch, a senior staff writer at Foreign Policy

The West Is With Ukraine. The Rest, Not So Much – FP, 30.03.22
Africa and Asia’s long-standing ties to Russia and resentments against Washington keep them on the fence—for now. By Colum Lynch, a senior staff writer at Foreign Policy

It’s Time to Expand the G-20 – FP, 18.03.22
The United States should help the body finally live up to its promise. By Josh Lipsky, the senior director of the Atlantic Council’s GeoEconomics Center and a former advisor at the International Monetary Fund

Russia Joins the Asian Club – FP, 29.03.22
Even if Russian President Vladimir Putin had never invaded Ukraine, Russia was tilting toward the Asian system. By Parag Khanna, the founder and managing partner of FutureMap

The West Is Rewriting the Rules of Foreign Policy Over Ukraine – FP, 3.03.22
Decades of U.S. and European precedents are going up in smoke. By Robbie Gramer, a diplomacy and national security reporter at Foreign Policy, and Jack Detsch, Foreign Policy’s Pentagon and national security reporter

Causing Crisis Works – FP, 19.02.22
It’s no accident that Russia and other aggrieved states routinely have international tantrums. By Kelly M. Greenhill, an associate professor of Political Science at Tufts University, and Joshua Shifrinson, an associate professor of International Relations at Boston University

Ne apropiem de finalul lumii politice pe care o știam. UE și NATO se vor schimba – Valentin Naumescu, 15.02.22

What Bolsonaro’s Huddle With Putin Says About BRICS – FP, 18.02.22
Founded in a bygone geopolitical era, the economic grouping complicates great-power competition today. By Catherine Osborn, the writer of Foreign Policy’s weekly Latin America Brief.

Big power rivalry: Who is winning the popularity wars? – CH, 12.01.22
John Kampfner argues the era of rivalry has tarnished both the American and Chinese brands as many countries around the world grow increasingly wary of choosing allegiances.

The rule-maker race – Mark Leonard, ECFR, 4.01.22
In the coming decades, the question of who sets the global rules, standards, and norms guiding technology, trade, and economic development will be paramount. Having lost their exclusive prerogative in this domain, some Western governments have begun to rethink the universality of the rules-based order.

2021

The Year Vaccines Changed (Most) of the World – FP, 22.12.21
In 2021, the biggest vaccination drive in global history affected everything from public health to diplomacy. By Stefan Theil, a deputy editor at Foreign Policy

Turkey Deepens Its Footprint in Africa – FP, 22.12.21
Expanding security cooperation and friendly rhetoric are strengthening Ankara’s influence on the continent. By Nosmot Gbadamosi, a multimedia journalist and the writer of Foreign Policy’s weekly Africa Brief

Latin America Could Profit From U.S.-China Competition – FP, 10.12.21
“Active nonalignment” is on display in a busy week of summits with both Beijing and Washington. By Catherine Osborn, the writer of Foreign Policy’s weekly Latin America Brief

Fossil Fuel’s Downfall Could Be America’s Too – FP, 3.12
How U.S. polluters might drag the country’s economy down with them. By Adam Tooze

The World Has No Answer for Migration – FP, 30.11
The migrant crisis in Belarus is a window into the failure of today’s global order to solve a growing problem. By Stephen M. Walt, a columnist at Foreign Policy and the Robert and Renée Belfer professor of international relations at Harvard University

The Poland-Belarus Border Crisis Is a Harbinger of the Future – FP, 23.11
The crisis is a window into the pitfalls of prevailing migration politics. By Humza Jilani, a freelance writer focused on migration, technology, and security issues

Who Lost North America? – FP, 17.11
The project of a stronger, more united continent is on life support. It’s time for a new vision. By Edward Alden, a columnist at Foreign Policy, a visiting professor at Western Washington University, and a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations

Big Tech Won’t Remake the Global Order – FP, 8.11
If you had to bet on which will shape the future, the smart money would be on states over technology. By Stephen M. Walt, a columnist at Foreign Policy and the Robert and Renée Belfer professor of international relations at Harvard University

Why BRICS Still Matters – FP, 27.09
BRICS may be a young institution, but it shouldn’t be underestimated. By Manjari Chatterjee Miller, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations

Could Somalia Be the Next Afghanistan? – FP, 22.09
A similar rapid collapse of state institutions awaits if Somali elites and Western governments don’t alter their approach. By Omar S. Mahmood, a senior analyst with the International Crisis Group, and Abdihakim Ainte, a former advisor to Somalia’s government

The AUKUS Dominoes Are Just Starting to Fall – FP, 18.09
The world’s newest security partnership is a window into how the world works—and the unpredictable places it’s heading. By Stephen M. Walt, a columnist at Foreign Policy and the Robert and Renée Belfer professor of international relations at Harvard University

Russia and Belarus Are Using Migrants as a Weapon Against the EU – FP, 18.09
Authoritarian regimes in Moscow and Minsk are aiding Iraqis and Afghans in order to sow chaos and domestic discord in Eastern European countries. By Tomasz Grzywaczewski

Are Indo-Russian Ties the Next Casualty of Great-Power Shifts? – FP, 8.09
The fall of Kabul may have widened the rift between New Delhi and Moscow. By C. Raja Mohan, the director of the National University of Singapore’s Institute of South Asian Studies

Multilateralism’s failure to tackle our biggest challenges is compounding them – ECFR, 20.07.21
Our collective failure to end the pandemic now will cause even deeper and more costly problems in the future

Belarus and Hong Kong Are Building the 21st Century’s Berlin Walls – FP, 13.06
Sixty years ago, a barrier in Berlin transformed Europe overnight. Today, authoritarian regimes are following in East Germany’s footsteps by barring their citizens from leaving. By Elisabeth Braw, a columnist at Foreign Policy and a fellow at the American Enterprise Institute

Ideological Competition With China Is Inevitable—Like It or Not – FP, 6.08
Beijing recognizes promoting human rights and democracy is an ideological challenge. So should Washington. By Nathan Levine, a China advisor at the Asia Society Policy Institute

Cele cinci forțe care schimbă lumea și cum va culmina criza globală cu războiul pentru supremație SUA-China – Valentin Naumescu, 22.07

Can Enemies Become Allies in the Fight Against Climate Change? – FP, 28.07
There are many incentives for cross-border military cooperation—even among adversaries—as climate change worsens. By Limor Simhony, a policy advisor and researcher based in London

Premieră: SUA și Rusia, declarație comună pe tema provocărilor de mediu – 16.07

Cui i-e frică de Xi Jinping? Sau drumul de 40 de ani de la „Chī le ma!” la „Nǐ hǎo!” – Petrișor Peiu, 11.07

The Geopolitics of Empathy – FP, 27.06
How our understanding—or misunderstanding—of other countries’ perspectives shapes global order. By Stephen M. Walt, a columnist at Foreign Policy and the Robert and Renée Belfer professor of international relations at Harvard University

What’s the Point of the G-7? – FP, 10.06
As Biden attends the summit, it’s worth asking whether this group—or other alliances of democracies—can really get anything done. – By Emma Ashford, a senior fellow in the New American Engagement Initiative at the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, and Matthew Kroenig, deputy director of the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security at the Atlantic Council

Munich Security Report: Is China a partner, rival or both? – DW, 9.06
The world’s democracies are in a competition of systems, above all with China. But global challenges like climate change and arms control require cooperation. The latest Munich Security Report seeks to find the balance.

Biden Should Pursue an Environmental Treaty for the Western Hemisphere – FP, 2.06
Latin American leaders have already made strides toward environmental protection. To achieve his own climate goals, Biden should cooperate with them. By Benjamin N. Gedan, deputy director of the Wilson Center’s Latin American program

Dilema ordinii liberale: răspunsul la agresiune. Mai este posibilă supraviețuirea acesteia fără recurgerea la măsuri ferme? – Valentin Naumescu, 26.05

Iran’s Biggest Problem Is Water – FP, 24.05
With supplies running out, water security could be the issue that finally makes the region’s countries work together. By Alex Vatanka, the director of the Iran Program at the Middle East Institute

New essay anthology examines the future of the international order – CH, 7.05
Featuring a new essay by Robin Niblett, Chief Executive of Chatham House, and Leslie Vinjamuri, Director of the US and Americas programme.

World order in the 21st century: Illiberal orders, a concert of power, or a Western revival? – CH, 7.05

The authors of an important new essay collection discuss proposals for international order in the 21st century. This webinar launches Anchoring the World: International Order in the Twenty-First Century, published by Foreign Affairs. This anthology marks the Centennials of Georgetown University’s School of Foreign Service, the Council on Foreign Relations and Chatham House. The anthology is the culmination of the Lloyd George Study Group on World Order.

Egiptul și Turcia încep două zile de negocieri: Cei doi rivali regionali vizează normalizarea relațiilor bilaterale – 5.05

What Kazakhstan Can Teach About Medium-State Diplomacy – FP, 4.05
How the self-styled “Asian Geneva” successfully navigated among Russia, China, and the West—at least for now. – By Iskander Akylbayev, the executive director of the Kazakhstan Council on International Relations, and Brian Y.S. Wong, the founding editor in chief of the Oxford Political Review.

The World Might Want China’s Rules – FP, 4.05
Washington shouldn’t assume its values are more attractive to others than Beijing’s. – By Stephen M. Walt, the Robert and Renée Belfer professor of international relations at Harvard University.

China and Russia Turn Deeper Ties into a Military Challenge for Biden – FP, 20.04
“You face a two-front war where we don’t have a two front military,” said one former Trump official. By Jack Detsch, Amy Mackinnon

Anchoring the World – 15.04
Essays from the Lloyd George Study Group on World Order, a joint project marking the centennials of Georgetown University’s Walsh School of Foreign Service, Chatham House, and the Council on Foreign Relations. Published in collaboration with Foreign Affairs.

Why U.S. Cities and States Should Play a Bigger Role in Foreign Policy – FP, 19.04
Part of making foreign policy work better for Americans is empowering local leaders. By Nina Hachigian

Don’t Kick Russia Out of the Chemical Weapons Convention Over Navalny – FP, 19.04
Doing so would be a death sentence for global nonproliferation efforts. By Hanna Notte

Le Monde: Gata cu iluziile de după războiul rece, ”dușmanul” s-a întors – RFI, 19.04

Biden Plans Big Pledge on U.S. Emissions Cuts – FP, 16.04
Washington wants to reclaim climate leadership and get other major countries to ramp up ambitions. By Colum Lynch

Mizele confruntării dintre Erdogan şi amiralii în rezervă: O posibilă ieșire a Turciei din Convenția de la Montreux și rescrierea regulilor privind regimul strâmtorilor – 6.04

Great-Power Competition Is a Recipe for Disaster – FP, 1.04
The latest poorly defined buzzword in Washington is leading pundits and policymakers down a dangerous path. By Emma Ashford

The Liberal Order Begins at Home – FA, 30.03
How Democratic Revival Can Reboot the International System. By Robin Niblett and Leslie Vinjamuri

Is there a populist foreign policy? – CH, 30.03
This paper focuses on the broader approaches that populists take to questions of foreign policy beyond Europe and in particular on their attitudes to Atlanticism.

Marile ciocniri care ar putea remodela lumea până în 2030. 12 tensiuni în creştere – Valentin Naumescu, contributors, 9.03

Influence Without Entanglement in the Middle East – FP, 25.02
How China is outflanking the United States—and staying under the radar. By Eyck Freymann

Și totuși, UE este o putere globală: lumea secolului XXI se modelează după exemplul ei – RFI, 9.02

Angela Merkel și alți lideri politici pledează pentru o nouă ordine mondială – DW, 3.02

How Europe Became a Model for the 21st Century – Der Spiegel, 23.01
An Essay by Ullrich Fichtner
Despite its long list of crises in recent years – including the most recent vaccine snafu – the European Union has become a global pacesetter. Its laws and regulations have established global norms. This has made the bloc a 21st century model.

Vaccines Will Shape the New Geopolitical Order – FP, 30.04.21
The gulf between haves and have-nots is only growing. By Simon Frankel Pratt and Jamie Levin
The World Needs a Post-Pandemic Health Treaty With Teeth – FP, 5.04.21
WHO has no power to demand openness or independently confirm data at present. By Lawrence O. Gostin, Eric A. Friedman, Lauren Dueck
25 de şefi de stat şi de guvern lansează un apel pentru un Tratat internaţional legat de pandemii – RFI, 30.03.21

Politica vaccinurilor: cu SUA sau cu China? Cu sau fără ”pașaport de vaccinare”? – RFI, 27.01

America’s Vaccine Diplomacy Is AWOL in the Middle East – FP, 8.01
China and Russia are spreading their vaccines—and forging new ties—to some of Washington’s closest allies. By Steven A. Cook

L’accès au vaccin est-il géopolitique ? – RFI, 8.01

Pour s’approvisionner en vaccins contre le Covid 19, Les pays occidentaux, Etats-Unis et Union Européenne, passent commande auprès de laboratoires américains alors que les pays en développement sont ravitaillés par la Chine. Assiste-t-on à une polarisation du monde quant à la répartition des vaccins ?

GZERO Summit on Post-Covid Geopolitics | GZERO Summit – 13.12.21

2020

Cities Are Transforming U.S. Foreign Policy – FA, 29.12
Biden Would Do Well to Work with Them. By Eric Garcetti and Nina Hachigian

Supravieţuirea trumpismului şi deceniul care va reseta lumea – Valentin Naumescu, 15.12

Shanghai a detronat Londra, devenind cel mai conectat oraş al lumii în domeniul transportului aerian – BBC, 26.11

China transmite un mesaj prin politica dură față de Australia. Presiunea Beijingului ne permite să întrezărim foia de parcurs spre o ordine mai iliberală, într-un posibil viitor dominat de Beijing – FT, 26.11

Alegerile din America şi bătălia sistemelor – Dan Dungaciu, 9.11

Alegerile prezidenţiale americane nu vor fi câştigate, ci pierdute. Asta înseamnă că problemele Americii şi ale lumii vor continua – Valentin Naumescu, 21.10.20

SUA, China, ONU și mizele politice gobale – DW, 24.09.20

John Bolton avertizează că NATO s-ar putea dezintegra dacă Trump câştigă un al doilea mandat – 7.08.20

Klaus Iohannis, despre discursul lui Mike Pompeo privind China: Balanța de putere se schimbă. Diplomația română are capacitatea să dea un răspuns pe măsură acestor schimbări geopolitice – 30.07.20

“Este evident că balanța geopolitică de putere se schimbă, cum se schimbă și balanța geopolitică economică. Aceste lucruri ne afectează și pe noi, poate nu așa direct ca pe alţii, dar toată lumea este afectată de schimbările în balanța puterii globale. În consecință, am luat act de această declarație, vom face propria evaluare și diplomația română vă asigur că are capacitatea să analizeze și să dea un răspuns pe măsură la aceste schimbări geopolitice“, a spus șeful statului, într-o conferință de presă, răspunzând unei întrebări cu privire la îndemnul secretarului de stat al SUA Mike Pompeo privind o alianța a lumii libere împotriva tiraniei Partidului Comunist Chinez.

Dialog la nivel înalt UE-China: Vicepreședintele executiv al Comisiei Europene subliniază că relația cu Beijingul ”nu este una ușoară”, dar ”criza actuală nu ne oferă altă opțiune decât să conlucrăm strâns cu partenerii noștri globali, inclusiv cu China” – Calea Europeană, 29.07.20

Germania atenționează că relațiile cu SUA nu se vor îmbunătăți chiar dacă Donald Trump nu va mai fi președinte, dar subliniază că Statele Unite rămân ”cel mai important partener din afara Europei” – 27.07.20

Vasile Puşcaş: Globalizarea nu se va sfârşi, dar capitalul, motorul globalizării, va fi regândit. Omul va reveni în centrul lumii. Societatea trebuie să fie centrul, nu marginea – 22.05.20

Globalizarea va continua – nu-ţi poţi imagina o întrerupere a transportului, de pildă. Dar „capitalul”, motorul globalizării vreme de decenii va fi sub un ochi critic. Poate va fi mai puţină avuţie, poate mai puţin câştig, dar va exista o coeziune socială mai puternică şi acest lucru va compensa. De la politicile de educaţie la politicile de sănătate, de la piaţa muncii şi atenţia faţă de angajat la felul în care capitalul se învârte şi produce bunăstare, trebuie să revedem judecăţile noastre din trecut.
Am mizat totul pe economie şi am neglijat societatea. Judecata viitoare trebuie să cuprindă larg, în analiza ei, acest aspect. Suntem într-o situaţie de criză. Dar este un vot de blam pentru guverne – pentru toate guvernele (din Occident – n.red.) – să spui că ai fost luat pe nepregătite. Ne-am concentrat pe economie şi am uitat de societate (externalizând lanţurile vitale de aprovizionare – n.red.). Trebuie să avem de azi înainte o reconstrucţie, inclusiv a pieţei interne a UE. Dacă ne-am fi concentrat mai mult pe societate, nu am fi trăit criza aceasta cu atâtea spaime.
UE s-a trezit în această criză că depinde prea mult în lanţurile de aprovizionare vitale de ţările din Asia. Dar „delocalizarea” a fost în bună măsură o sursă de prosperitate pentru Occident. Acum această decizie începută cu decenii în urmă a transformat Europa în prizonier.

La Bruxelles, Parlamentul Global prinde contur – Dan Luca, 9.03.20

Atât partidele politice europene, cât şi structurile regionale precum ASEAN (un fel de Uniune Europeanã a Asiei) sau Uniunea Africanã, doresc lansarea unui proiect ambiţios pentru a impica cetãţenii în reprezentatea mondialã. Partidele politice europene, cu o istorie deja bine conturatã, pot sã fie factorii de coagulare spre ″societatea internaţionalã″. ″Partidele politice sunt în permanent contact cu cetãţenii, iar cu ajutorul acestora putem mai uşor sã trecem de la legalitate la legitimitate″, preciza prof. Vasile Puşcaş, prezent la dezbatere. (…)
Dimensiunea parlamentarã a structurii globale se contureazã clar, complementar cu actuala structurã a Naţiunilor Unite. În termeni europeni, actuala Adunare Generală a ONU este echivalentã Consiliului UE, iar un Parlament Global se poate inspira din construcţia treptatã a Parlamentului European, forumul care reprezintã interesele cetãţenilor.

Trump, COVID-19, and the Future of International Order – FP, 8.10.20

In a new survey, international relations experts are pessimistic about the years to come. By Helen V. Milner, Susan Peterson, Ryan Powers, Michael J. Tierney, Erik Voeten

The Day After: Navigating in a post-pandemic world – Carnegie Endowment, 1.10.20

Navigating the post-pandemic international landscape will pose an enormous challenge for decisionmakers in boardrooms and situation rooms alike. The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace has convened its global network of more than 150 scholars from twenty countries and six global centers to produce “The Day After: Navigating a Post-Pandemic World”—a digital magazine that provides grounded, fresh analysis and new approaches to some of the most consequential challenges unfolding before us.

How the World Will Look After the Coronavirus Pandemic – Foreign Policy, 20.03.20