Iran: Dinamici, Tendințe – doc

Iran Needs a Cushion, and Europe Needs Gas – FP, 23.03.22
Politics in Tehran may finally fall into sync with the commercial logic of expanding energy markets. By Alex Vatanka, the director of the Iran Program and a senior fellow in the Frontier Europe Initiative at the Middle East Institute in Washington

In Backing Russia on Ukraine, Iran Is on the Wrong Side of History – FP, 9.03.22
The self-proclaimed champion of anti-imperialism is now sugarcoating an imperial war. By Kourosh Ziabari, a journalist and Asia Times correspondent


JCPOA talks: Deal or no deal? – CH, 20.01.22
A restored nuclear deal may not be as strong and comprehensive as originally hoped but given what is at stake, a deal with Iran is still better than no deal.

Iran’s Revolution Is Eating Its Own – FP, 19.01.22
By purging veteran politicians, abandoning the pretense of free elections, and letting the welfare state decay, Tehran is playing with fire. By Ray Takeyh, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations

How Close Is Iran to Getting a Nuclear Weapon? – FP, 10.01.22
Why Tehran’s breakout time has shrunk—and the technological hurdles that remain. By Colum Lynch, a senior staff writer at Foreign Policy



2021


A Last-Ditch Effort to Save the Iran Deal – FP, 29.12.21
The eighth round of nuclear talks kicks off this week in Vienna, with U.S. officials saying Iran has only weeks to play ball. By Colum Lynch, a senior staff writer at Foreign Policy

Iran Can’t Afford to Delay a Deal – FP, 21.12.21
There should be little doubt in Tehran about the urgent necessity of restoring the nuclear agreement. By Sajjad Safaei, a postdoc fellow at Germany’s Max Planck Institute for Social Anthropology

U.S. Policymakers Are Misreading Iran – FP, 5.11
Ebrahim Raisi needs a deal. Military threats from Washington would derail any remaining hopes of achieving one. By Sina Toossi, a senior research analyst for the National Iranian American Council

Iran’s Emerging New ‘Second Europe’ Strategy May Be Doomed – FP, 29.10
The Raisi administration’s apparent new approach has been tried before, unsuccessfully. By Mahmoud Javadi, a postgraduate researcher in the School of Transnational Governance at the European University Institute in Florence, Italy


Tehran’s Harvard Incubated Iran’s New Government – FP, 7.10
The school’s mission is to find the most talented Iranians willing to serve the state—and give them access to power. By Mohammad Hashemi, a journalist and analyst of Iranian affairs based in Tehran


The View From Iran: What the Raisi Administration Wants in the Nuclear Talks – FP, 7.10
President Ebrahim Raisi doesn’t consider reviving the nuclear deal a top priority. By Saheb Sadeghi, a columnist and foreign-policy analyst on Iran and the Middle East


Iran Seeks to Fill a Middle East Power Vacuum – FP, 28.09
The United States and Israel worry the “Afghanistan effect” allows Tehran to covertly pursue nuclear capability. By Michael Hirsh, a senior correspondent at Foreign Policy


Separate the Iran Deal From Regional Security Negotiations – FP, 22.09
U.S. allies have already taken the initiative on regional issues. Insisting on a package deal could permanently derail nuclear talks. By Vali Nasr, the Majid Khadduri professor of Middle East studies and international affairs at Johns Hopkins University’s School of Advanced International Studies, and Seyed Hossein Mousavian, a Middle East security and nuclear policy specialist at Princeton University’s Program on Science and Global Security and a former Iranian diplomat


Iranul intensifică ritmul producției de uraniu puternic îmbogățit – 18.08


How Iran’s Deadly Tanker Attack Is Linked to the Nuclear Deal – FP, 11.08
Not responding to a drone attack off Oman could actually impair progress on a deal. By Robert Satloff


The China Model Will Never Work in Iran – FP, 30.07
Tehran thinks it can have Chinese-style authoritarian prosperity—but Iranian leaders will never abandon revolution or offer citizens rising living standards in exchange for acquiescence. By Wang Xiyue, a Ph.D. candidate in history at Princeton University and a Jeane Kirkpatrick fellow at the American Enterprise Institute in Washington


How to Make Iran Trust a New Nuclear Deal – FP, 17.08
Even if Washington can’t provide a guarantee that future administrations will maintain the deal, there are other ways to bridge the gap. By Trita Parsi, the executive vice president of the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft, and Bijan Khajehpour, an economist and a managing partner at Eurasian Nexus Partners

Raisi Will Yank Biden Back Into the Middle East – FP, 4.08
Iran’s new president is ruthless and seems set on putting the United States back on a trajectory of mutual escalation. By Michael Hirsh

Tehran and Washington Signal Slow Going for Nuclear Deal – FP, 30.07
As Iran prepares to inaugurate a new president, the diplomacy seen during Hassan Rouhani’s term may be consigned to history.

Is Iran Bluffing About Its Enriched Uranium Stockpile? – FP, 28.07
Tehran’s numbers don’t add up. They seem to be exaggerated to pressure Biden for sanctions relief. By Blaise Misztal, the vice president for policy at the Jewish Institute for National Security of America, and Jonathan Ruhe, the director of foreign policy at the Jewish Institute for National Security of America


Raisi Takes the Reins in Tehran – FP, 11.08
Although deferential to the supreme leader, the new president has the chance to shape Iran’s approach to the West. By Colm Quinn

Why Raisi Is the West’s Best Hope for a Deal With Iran – FP, 24.06
Hard-liners would never accept an agreement signed by a moderate—but they’ll fall into line if it comes from one of their own. By Vali Nasr, the Majid Khadduri professor of Middle East studies and international affairs at Johns Hopkins University’s School of Advanced International Studies

Iran and Raisi Have a Legitimacy Crisis – FP, 24.06
After an engineered election, Iran’s new president may have little choice but to govern cooperatively. By Sina Toossi, a senior research analyst for the National Iranian American Council

The Islamic Republic’s Republic Is Dying – FP, 27.05
Iran’s presidential election next month marks a turning point for the country—for all the wrong reasons. By Sina Toossi, a senior research analyst for the National Iranian American Council.

Ahmadinejad Has Bigger Plans Than Iran’s Presidency – FP, 25.05
The former Iranian president has officially exited the political establishment—in hopes of eventually replacing it. By Hamidreza Azizi, an Alexander von Humboldt fellow at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs in Berlin

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